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Logan Mohtashami on why this is a savagely unhealthy housing market

Housing Wire

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. HousingWire: How will rising rates affect new home construction? Housing construction will be impacted if the monthly supply for new homes breaks above 6.5 months on a 3-month average.

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The 2021 housing market recap by Logan Mohtashami

Housing Wire

The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. mortgage rates, so on the mortgage rate side of the equation, it’s never been better. Housing permits are growing and this is a good thing for the economy and construction jobs. These households got sub-3.5%

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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

Mortgage 477
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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Then we had the biggest mortgage rate shock in recent history and yet even with that, we will have over 5 million total home sales this year. Production falls. Home sales.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. That’s not the case now because we have’t had a credit boom post-2010 as we did from 2002 to 2005. We have more housing starts under construction now than in recent history! What is going on here?

Inventory 517
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New home sales still show a historic backlog

Housing Wire

One of the realities of COVID-19 has been the lag to build homes in a business that requires stable mortgage rates because of the traditional time to complete a home. It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. When supply is 4.3

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Builders only have 76,000 completed new homes for sale

Housing Wire

New home sales missed estimates today but had three months of positive revisions, which continues the story of the builders managing the higher mortgage rate environment. This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. However, higher mortgage rates make it harder and harder to pull some of those deals off. We are at 7.8

Inventory 489