Remove 2002 Remove Construction Remove Inventory Remove Mortgage
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Logan Mohtashami unpacks the slow train wreck that’s been happening in housing inventory

Housing Wire

I always try to focus people on the total inventory data until we get inventory back into a range of 1.52-1.93 HousingWire: To add to that, since housing is in an inventory shortage, the market has changed, so the good news is inventory is growing. The big difference now than, let’s say, what we saw from 2002-2008.

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Logan Mohtashami on why this is a savagely unhealthy housing market

Housing Wire

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. The one thing that has happened in 2022 that has been worse is that national inventory levels have worsened in 2022 to start the year. Inventory has been falling for years.

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The 2021 housing market recap by Logan Mohtashami

Housing Wire

The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. mortgage rates, so on the mortgage rate side of the equation, it’s never been better. Housing permits are growing and this is a good thing for the economy and construction jobs. These households got sub-3.5%

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Low housing inventory a win for homebuilders

Housing Wire

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 The builders will pull back on construction when the supply is 6.5

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. That’s not the case now because we have’t had a credit boom post-2010 as we did from 2002 to 2005. I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 housing market.

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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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Here’s why the housing market needs higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Seasonal inventory is about to rise, so let’s hope for the best. However, the demand curve of what we have in housing too doesn’t resemble the speculation demand curve of what we saw from 2002-to 2005. Even today, we aren’t even at 2002 levels in the MBA index. Have more questions for Logan?