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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

I developed a specific home-price growth model for the years 2020-2024 which said that if home-price growth grew at 23% for five years we would be fine, with total housing demand —both new and existing homes together — getting to 6.2 Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. million or higher.

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Low housing inventory a win for homebuilders

Housing Wire

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. percent (±15.3

Inventory 534
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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. It’s also driven more by mortgage buyers who tend to be older and make more money than the new-home buyers. First, total home sales should be 6.2

Mortgage 449
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New home sales still show a historic backlog

Housing Wire

The truth here that nobody wants to talk about is that we didn’t have a massive sales credit boom in housing from 2020-2021 like we saw from 2002-2005. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. However, even if I adjust for that, sales trends have bounced off the lows for a while. percent (±22.7

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March new home sales: the last positive revision for 2022?

Housing Wire

The new home sales market doesn’t have a 28% cash-buyer profile as we saw in the last existing home sales report. So, while cash buyers as a percent of sales have been growing, this sector is driven by mortgage buyers primarily. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. percent (±12.9

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The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. The builders are in a better position to manage their inventory glut than when they were working from a credit boom in 2005 that took new home sales up to 1.4 This is 12.6 percent (±16.9 percent (±10.9

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New Hampshire 2023 Year in Review

Lamacchia Realty

The real estate landscape witnessed significant developments in 2023, as the New Hampshire market saw a historic low in listings. This scarcity in inventory exerted upward pressure on prices, although it coincided with a 19% decline in sales. 2023 Real Estate Performance Highlights The number of homes sold decreased by 18.9%