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Mortgage rates continue falling before Thanksgiving: Freddie Mac

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates dropped significantly in the last few weeks, but the cost of borrowing remains high prompting many homebuyers to wait for even lower rates. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 7.29% for the week ending Nov. 22, according to Freddie Mac ‘s Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

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DataDigest: What the latest data says about home prices, construction and sales

Housing Wire

Home construction New home construction ramped up early in the pandemic but moderated as interest rates ticked up and mortgage rates followed. The rate of homes under construction has roughly plateaued since April 2022. Homebuilders are also pacing the number of homes they bring to market.

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Record apartment supply is good for mortgage rates 

Housing Wire

What is the best news for mortgage rates long-term? Without rents taking off, the CPI data would look much more tame, like what we saw from the years 2000-2019. More supply of apartments coming on line will be good news for mortgage rates going forward. This is key for mortgage rates looking out for years to come.

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New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. We talked about this in March , and even last year, when I wrote about the problem with the housing construction boom premise. “I don’t expect a boom in housing construction.

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Where’s the bottom for new home sales?

Housing Wire

New home sales are now below the recession levels of 2000 and have fallen all the way to 1996 levels, when interest rates were near 8%. This doesn’t mean sales can’t fall further from here, especially with rising mortgage rates. We saw some stabilization in the data when mortgage rates fell from 6.25% to 5%. When supply is 4.4

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Homebuilders are feeling pretty good right now

Housing Wire

New home construction is taking on an increased role in the marketplace because many home owners with loans well below current mortgage rates are electing to stay put, and this is keeping the supply of existing homes at a very low level ,” Alicia Huey, the NAHB chair, said in a statement. That share from 2000-2019 was a 12.7%

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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

9 up until the early part of February as mortgage rates fell from 7.37% to 5.99%. To combat higher mortgage rates, builders have been cutting prices and buying down rates to move product. As we can see in the chart below, we are still below the recession levels of 2000 and really trending at 1996 levels.

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