Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 441

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 441

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 454

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 454

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Purchase application data As we get closer to the end of the first month of 2024, forward-looking purchase application data looks good. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 520

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 520

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

It’s spring 2024 and we have a Federal Reserve meeting this week. For 2024, the 10-year yield running between 3.80%-4.25% looks perfectly normal to me as long as the economic data is firm and the Fed hasn’t pivoted. This means we will show more than normal inventory growth until we get past tax day 2024.

Housing Market 467

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 467

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data.

Inventory 513

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 513

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe we should get more sellers in 2024 than in 2023, but that doesn’t necessarily mean home prices will fall. This is why following the housing market tracker tied to the 10-year yield, mortgage rates, and purchase application data will be as critical as last year to tell you what’s going on in the housing market.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024.

Inventory 530

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 530

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 473

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 473

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

As rates were hitting year-to-date highs, the fear was that the Fed would go hawkish in their March meeting, which could push mortgage rates toward 8% and tank 2024 demand. Let’s look at the tracker data to see how mortgage rates are impacting the housing data as we settle into spring. 8% for spring 2024.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 533

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 533

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

However, this year, even though the spreads are still historically bad, they’ve improved over last year, which is a plus for the housing market. Weekly housing inventory data Last week was another week that missed my inventory growth model with higher rates. Right now, the difference between them is 2.60%.

Mortgage 403

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 403

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 506

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 506

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 525

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.

Inventory 472

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 472

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S. When inventory bounces back The extremes of the 2020s have dealt big blows to for-sale inventories.

Inventory 414

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 414

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. From NAR : The median existing home price for all housing types in March was $393,500, an increase of 4.8% All four U.S.

Inventory 489

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Buyers 489

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

If so, what will this do to inventory levels? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. In my 2024 forecast , I put the 10-year yield range between 3.21%-4.25% , with a critical line in the sand at 3.37%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower?

Mortgage 471

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 471

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

“Prospective home buyers experienced another difficult month due to the persistent lack of housing inventory and the highest mortgage rates in a generation,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. On the bright side, housing inventory rose 1.8% On the bright side, housing inventory rose 1.8%

Inventory 401

Inventory Realtors New Listings Contracts 401

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2024

The housing market is off to a good start this year, as consumers benefit from falling mortgage rates and stable home prices,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. Job additions and income growth will further help with housing affordability, but increased supply will be essential to satisfying all potential demand.”

Contracts 458

Contracts Housing Market Construction Inventory 458

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. Weekly housing inventory data We will start with the price cut data percentage because it deserves a detailed explanation.

Mortgage 530

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 530

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? Let’s see how this looks in the critical time from the second week of January to the first week of May 2024. We would usually be in a seasonal decline by now, but inventory growth has recently picked up due to higher rates.

Mortgage 472

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 472

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

“Given inflation continues to decelerate and the Federal Reserve Board’s current expectations that they will lower the federal funds target rate next year, we likely will see a gradual thawing of the housing market in the new year,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist said in a statement.

Mortgage 485

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 485

Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2024

In Denver in particular, new listings increased 29.12% month-over-month and 22.63% year-over-year. Active listings at month’s end rose 13.14% to 5,511 homes, an astounding 45.87% gain year-over-year. Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing. With only 1.3

Inventory 342

Inventory Lending Real Estate Housing Market 342

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

Inventory 523

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 523

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. The call was that if mortgage rates rose above 7.25% , we would see more inventory growth — between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Now, we see the seasonal inventory decline. What a week!

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data Weekly active listing data is declining now like it always does every year at this time due to seasonality. Higher mortgage rates resulted in higher inventory during part of the fall and forced the seasonal decline in inventory to start later this year. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.

Inventory 535

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 535

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2023

Meanwhile, available inventory continues to dwindle as many homeowners stay put to keep their relatively low mortgage rates. 17, total active listings were at 806,701, down 16.2% However, new listings have stabilized, ticking up slightly since the beginning of September. . New listings are down 6.7%

New Listings 448

New Listings Inventory Buyers Mortgage 448

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

In the previous expansion, one of my long-term calls was that the MBA purchase application data will never hit the volume level of 300 until the years 2020-2024. The years 2020-2024 were going to be the time when total home sales could finally reach 6.2 However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020.

New Listings 489

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 489

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings. 31% in 2023-2024. in 2019-2020, 16.9-17.2%

Mortgage 416

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 416

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 29, 2024

Meanwhile, new home sales , which are also a measure of contract signings, reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 661,000 in January, up 1.5% Overall active inventory improved 7.9% As a result, long-term housing demand is increasing more significantly in these regions. from December’s annualized rate.

Contracts 405

Contracts Inventory New Listings Realtors 405

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 23, 2024

Here are some charts reviewing today’s report with a host of data lines from the NAR existing home sales report: [link] A few critical glaring points: active inventory is still historically low, and so is monthly supply data. This means 2024 is starting to look a lot like 2023 unless rates fall soon.

Inventory 455

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 455

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . With the home-price growth we had in 2020 and 2021, my five-year price-growth model that I set for 2020-2024 of 23% was already smashed in just two years.

Inventory 456

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 456

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. We never saw the Airbnb crash that dominated some of the housing headlines in 2023. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

Housing Market 532

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 532

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November.

Housing Market 491

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 491

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. Instead, they closed 2023 at 6.67%.

Housing Market 528

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 528