Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

Inventory 465

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 465

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

Inventory 491

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 491

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 524

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Dec.

Inventory 533

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 533

Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. The 10-year yield can’t break lower from the critical level I have discussed, so not much is happening with mortgage rates. Does this move have more legs to run, and will we need lower mortgage rates to get more growth in this data line?

Inventory 507

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 507

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

Mortgage rates shot up last week after a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, even though they didn’t raise rates. Mortgage rates did find some relief on Friday as bond yields headed lower. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

Mortgage 459

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 459

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. Mortgage rates fell along with bond yields, showing that mortgage rates peaked on Oct. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! The last three weeks didn’t show any weekly growth, but mortgage rates were rising for most of that period.

Inventory 534

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 437

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 437

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly housing inventory decreased by 6,801, while new listing data is still negative year-over-year. Weekly inventory change (Feb. Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Housing Market 451

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 451

Housing Wire

JANUARY 23, 2023

Housing inventory decreased by 566 units, which is not a significant decline. Mortgage rates fell, but the bond market didn’t break what I see as a critical level, so for now, stabilization is more important. Last week’s housing market data provided mixed news. Weekly housing inventory fell, but not by much.

Housing Market 516

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 516

Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

The housing bubble boys are a crew that from 2012 to 2019 screamed housing crash every year. In 2022 it was all about finding a point in time when I thought mortgage rates would fall, which was key to understanding how the purchase application data would react to lower mortgage rates. Even the IMF was begging the U.S.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

These metros also continue to grapple with below-average inventory recovery, maintaining pressure on buyers. New Orleans, San Antonio, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville are among the locales that posted the slowest month-over-month price growth in March. ” Competition is stiff for attractive listings.

Housing Market 432

Housing Market Inventory Buyers New Listings 432

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

million, something that couldn’t happen from 2008-2019 because we didn’t have the demographic profile to get to that level until household formation grew. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.

New Listings 499

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 499

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! “The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. Housing inventory. Confused by this?

Inventory 522

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 522

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Declining mortgage rates could have improved affordability for buyers in the housing market in February, but instead spurred a demand that, combined with a persistent lack of inventory across the U.S., “In many areas of the country, that dynamic – low inventory and a modest rise in demand – led to an uptick in home prices.”

Inventory 417

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 417

Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2022

To say that mortgage rates have been on a wild Mr. Toad’s ride in 2022 is an understatement. People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. million to 5.12

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory Sellers Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels.

Inventory 478

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 478

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2023

On the one hand, elevated mortgage rates continue to erode buyers’ purchasing power, and in some markets, home prices are falling. On the other hand, inventory is still low, and homes are still selling fast, often with multiple offers. Mortgage rate fatigue. Look for this segment to drive inventory growth in some markets.

Housing Market 436

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 436

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

Home prices fell in January, pulling back by 0.24% from December to mark the smallest monthly decline in seven months, according to Black Knight ‘s mortgage monitor report. 25, purchase lock counts were 21% below the same week in 2019, and 30% below the levels during the same week in 2018. As of the week ending Feb.

Housing Market 410

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 410

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. From the index : I know it seems strange, but existing home sales are falling, and the monthly supply of new homes is at 10.9 Housing inventory issue with no booming demand.

Inventory 397

Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 397

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Home prices growth and mortgage rates have come down from the peaks in 2022, but affordability still remains a challenge. Purchase borrowers, who now make up 82% of new rate locks, paid an average of 1.16 As sales volumes continued to slump, inventory growth stalled, as sellers are taking a step back from listing their homes.

Inventory 397

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Home Value 397

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2021

Nearly 50% of homes sold for more than their list price during the four weeks ending May 16, but there are signs that housing market demand may be reaching its peak, according to a recent study from Redfin. Mortgage purchase applications also decreased 4% week over week. Asking prices increased to $358,975, also a record high.

Housing Market 540

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Mortgage 540

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2021

“We are seeing a typical late-spring slowdown in new listings and pending sales, but prices don’t typically peak until late August, and their growth remains completely unhinged,” said Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist. For the week ending May 27, 30-year mortgage rates fell slightly to 2.95%.

Buyers 448

Buyers Real Estate Agent Real Estate Inventory 448

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2020

in July, the third consecutive month of gains, fueled by low mortgage rates and unprecedented demand from consumers. Home sellers are seeing their homes go under contract in record time, with nine new contracts for every 10 new listings.”. gain compared with 2019. pending home sales rose 5.9% million, a 1.1%

Contracts 501

Contracts Realtors New Listings Real Estate 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. Why the difference?

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 488

Berkshire Hathaway

DECEMBER 9, 2021

According to Housing Wire, “During the four week period ending November 28, the number of active listings was a 23% decrease compared to the same time period in 2020 and a 42% drop compared to 2019. This marks a 14% year-over-year increase and a 31% increase from 2019.

Inventory 52

Inventory New Listings Buyers Marketing 52

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. However, mortgage rates didn’t stay flat. If mortgage rates continue to rise to 7.5%

Inventory 439

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 439

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

Housing Market 540

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Hank Miller Team

APRIL 6, 2022

It's time to answer the nagging question…did housing inventory in Atlanta increase during the first quarter of 2022? Traditionally, the months of May and June see the most new listings as the school cycle hits – graduating families sell and rising families buy. The difference now is rising rates and even less inventory.

Inventory 94

Inventory Contracts Buyers Sellers 94

Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2023

The housing inventory shortage dominated much of the conversation surrounding the housing market in 2022, but thanks to softening homebuyer demand, the number of active listings finished the year up 54.7% Despite this sizable yearly increase, active housing inventory was down 33.4% compared to December 2019 and 38.2%

Inventory 530

Inventory Buyers New Listings Sellers 530

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2020

According to multiple real estate agents and mortgage brokers, low interest rates and a high percentage of “essential” jobs in their town has kept the housing market and local economy strong. That’s even with home prices jumping to an average of $226,000 in September – an 18% jump from September 2019.

Housing Market 447

Housing Market Real Estate Agent Marketing Real Estate 447

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2024

Inventory is climbing vs. last year, and home prices have stayed flat for three weeks now. Mortgage rates are back over 7%. And as demand slows, inventory grows. Inventory is up over last year and is about to turn the corner and start climbing for the spring selling season, probably within a couple weeks.

Mortgage 507

Mortgage Inventory Sellers New Listings 507

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Inventory, which has been falling for years, broke to all-time lows in 2020. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. To top it all off, we started 2022 at all-time lows, forcing bidding action everywhere until mortgage rates rose. million active listings, but at just 1.28

Sellers 514

Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. Home price s.

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 538

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 5, 2024

Mortgage rates are back up over 7% this morning on the back of strong economic growth data. The 10-year bond yield jumped back over 4% and that pushes mortgage rates higher too. Mortgage rates are 40 basis points higher than a month ago, and 100 basis points higher than a year ago. Higher rates equals higher inventory.

Mortgage 453

Mortgage Inventory Sellers New Listings 453

Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2023

Mortgage rates only kept climbing in the last week. Buyers in this real estate market notice these affordability changes, and so we can see in the data fewer home purchase offers, slightly climbing unsold inventory, and slightly more price reductions for the homes that are on the market. Rising rates make more inventory.

Inventory 370

Inventory Contracts Buyers Sellers 370