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New listings data unfazed by 8% mortgage rates

Housing Wire

New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Unlike last year, when new listings data had a noticeable move lower once mortgage rates reached 6%, 8% mortgage rates haven’t had any noticeable impact on the latest new listings data.

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New listings take a hit, possibly due to higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much.

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Housing inventory gone wild

Housing Wire

The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes. What’s going on with housing inventory ? 18: 60,295 Aug.

Inventory 491
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Finally, some healthy housing inventory growth

Housing Wire

Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. Last year, when mortgage rates headed toward 8% , we saw no negative hit to the latest listings data, meaning it didn’t take a new leg lower.

Inventory 504
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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.

Mortgage 515
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Spring housing market gets more inventory

Housing Wire

This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book.

Inventory 504
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once new listings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 515