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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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CAN HOUSING SHORTAGE CATCH UP TO EASTSIDE DEMAND?

Will Springer Realtor

“This looks a lot like the housing boom that we saw prior to the 2007–09 financial crisis.” That’s where buyers are paying about 42% more in their monthly mortgage payments for the same house today than they did a year ago. home prices, up 14% year over year (YoY) by one measure, and escalating mortgage rates, which have risen about 2.1

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

They have also been spending oodles of money to shape their residences to meet new living needs – modern and spacious, when possible – as households live in their homes for longer. Information from the National Mortgage Database shows 83% of all mortgage holders enjoy an interest rate below 5% when today’s average rate is about 6.5%.

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IS THE HOUSING MARKET HEADED FOR A CRASH?

Will Springer Realtor

Adjustable-rate mortgages were cheap and easy to acquire, home prices were artificially inflated and supply plentiful. The Federal Reserve is supporting the purchase of mortgage-backed securities as well as helping to sustain low interest rates for mortgages. Then the housing bubble burst. million for sale today.

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FED’S ACTIONS TAKE STEAM OUT OF HOUSING MARKET

Will Springer Realtor

At what point will mortgage interest rates peak? While investors of mortgaged securities help dictate their interest rates, the Federal Reserve is behind the scenes influencing the overall lending environment. When you raise [mortgage] rates to the point they’re at today, it breaks the back of housing.”.

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HINTS OF SHARP INCREASE IN NEW CONSTRUCTION

Will Springer Realtor

Others – Meritage Homes (+20% YoY in 2021) and Tri Point Homes (+15-30% YoY in 2022) – expect tremendous growth of new communities. And many of the new projects are larger than in years past. That’s the most since 2007. Builders began construction on just under a million single-family homes in 2020. SEPTEMBER HOUSING UPDATE.

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Millennials Expected To Maintain Real Estate Buying Intensity

Will Springer Realtor

Home prices are overheating, mortgage rates are inching up from the start of the year and the supply of homes is in an unseasonable valley – far from its Mt. Today, 37% of all buyers are Millennials and they comprise about 54% of all mortgage applications. of mortgages underwater); Multnomah County (Portland), Ore. points at 34.