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Price Adjustments in this New Housing Market

Lamacchia Realty

In early March it was becoming clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. For the past few years, with inventory at historically low levels , sellers were coming pretty close to naming their price and buyers were paying.

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Only 70,000 new homes available for sale

Housing Wire

Last year, while the Census Bureau was reporting the new home sales numbers and the builders were having high cancellation rates, the monthly sales report didn’t account for the cancellations of contracts. The Inventory for homes completed is at 70,000 = 1.23 The Inventory for homes completed is at 70,000 = 1.23

Inventory 520
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

However, the glaring difference today versus the recession of 2008, is that in 2007 the builders had to deal with over 4 million active listings as competition for their pricey new homes. If the homebuilders and homebuyers knew rates would hit 7% in 2022, many would not have taken those contracts they’re canceling now.

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How much will home prices climb over the next year?

Housing Wire

The median price of the homes in contract is $385,000. There are now 376,000 single-family homes in contract. Maybe by Q4, we’ll have more homes in contract than there were at the end of 2022. The count of new contracts this week was just over 68,000 single-family homes. Both lines indicate about 70,000 contracts.

Inventory 370
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VA Approves Desktops and Exterior-Only Appraisals

Appraisal Today

Two percent of newly originated mortgages were originated to subprime borrowers, a sharp contrast to the 12% average seen between 2003-2007.”. The market is shifting from a sellers’ paradise to one where buyers can now start making a few demands of their own. For more details and graphs, click here. To read more, click here.

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Price Adjustments in Florida Rise Rapidly

Lamacchia Realty

As you can see in the chart below, Florida has the highest shift in rising inventory over the past twelve months. Source Condo inventory has been rising more than single families as sales have been decreasing since 2023. Source Inventory rises when more sellers are listing than buyers are buying.

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Houston Housing Market Forecast: Current Data & 2021 Predictions

Houston Properties

Avoid 9 Costly Mistakes Sellers Make. Today's monthly payments on a $500,000 mortgage are about the same as a $210,000 mortgage from the mid-1990s or a $300,000 mortgage from 2007. Properties are still going under contract. The market will see an influx of price drops and hikes due to low inventory and high demand.