Remove 2002 Remove Development Remove Housing Market Remove Inventory
article thumbnail

How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. I developed a specific home-price growth model for the years 2020-2024 which said that if home-price growth grew at 23% for five years we would be fine, with total housing demand —both new and existing homes together — getting to 6.2

article thumbnail

Low housing inventory a win for homebuilders

Housing Wire

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Inventory 543
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. First, total home sales should be 6.2

Mortgage 488
article thumbnail

Are new home sales flagging a recession?

Housing Wire

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

article thumbnail

New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. The peak of the housing bubble was roughly 1.4

article thumbnail

Builders only have 76,000 completed new homes for sale

Housing Wire

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. percent (±15.6 percent (±21.1

Inventory 489
article thumbnail

New home sales report boosted by positive revisions

Housing Wire

This stands in contrast to the existing home sales market, where higher mortgage rates can create more inventory and cool down price growth. family houses in January 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 801,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. percent (±16.2 percent (±15.2