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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 450
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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. So where does all that drama leave us for 2023?

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory falls again

Housing Wire

The housing market has been wild the last few years, making weekly data more critical. This is why I’ve created the Housing Market Tracker — a weekly analysis of purchase apps, housing inventory and mortgage rates that will be published every Monday.

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HousingWire debuts Housing Market Tracker

Housing Wire

Starting this week, I will analyze weekly data in a Housing Market Tracker article every Monday to provide a status update on the U.S. housing market and economy. This weekly tracker will give you updates on the data lines that don’t need to wait for monthly housing data reports. .

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Have we already reached peak home sales for the year?

Housing Wire

This is why we created the housing market tracker articles to keep everyone versed in forward-looking demand and the forward-looking demand was getting better as mortgage rates fell from 8% to below 7%. With the NAR data, I would be throwing a party if inventory could just get into a range of 1.52-1.93

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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

It happened in 2008 and then didn’t happen again until 2023. We don’t have any data that shows sales are crashing from this low level: this is key when looking at the future because it does give us a place to grow sales as long as mortgage rates fall. Remember, with median sales prices and inventory, it’s very seasonal.