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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once new listings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 496
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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. We’re not seeing seller stress in the inventory data but just a typical increase in inventory when rates are higher, which looks perfectly normal. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.

Mortgage 506
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 513
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. Outside of that time period, everything else from 1982 to 2023 was normal.

Inventory 539
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.

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Homebuyers increasingly seek ARMs as mortgage rates soar 

Housing Wire

Buyers, builders and sellers take a step back as inflation persists . On the heels of heightened mortgage rates and persistent inflation, buyers, builders and sellers have taken a step back to consider their best course of action. Sellers are responding to the shift in the market and pulling back on listing activity, resulting in a 9.8%

Mortgage 398
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. One of the issues with existing home inventory has been that, for the most part, a traditional seller is usually a buyer of a home. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 381