Remove 2011 Remove Buyers Remove New Listings Remove Sellers
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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. million active listings, but at just 1.28 The only time this happened was 2006-2011 — the housing bust years. Home prices ebb and flow, pricing was working in the sense that sellers met homebuyers to a degree. million today.

Sellers 498
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. Since the credit standards have improved post-2010, we shouldn’t see distressed sellers until a job loss recession happens, even if sales fall noticeably.

Inventory 505
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. Also, this is what the Federal Reserve wants.

Inventory 536
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Homebuyers increasingly seek ARMs as mortgage rates soar 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates were 7.22% for conforming and 6.15% for jumbos at Mortgage News Daily on Wednesday, a spread of 107 bps. Buyers, builders and sellers take a step back as inflation persists . Sellers are responding to the shift in the market and pulling back on listing activity, resulting in a 9.8% The annual U.S.

Mortgage 393
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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales in December; Individual investors purchased 16% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 29% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 2% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 29 days. This is a positive for housing in 2024 as most sellers are buyers.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.

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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Existing home sales have more legs to go lower, especially now that new listing data is falling. A traditional primary resident seller is also a buyer, which means if they don’t list, they’re not just taking a potential home to be bought off the table — they’re taking a future sale off the books as well.

Inventory 437