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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once new listings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 514
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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.

Mortgage 515
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and new listings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.

Inventory 545
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Will mortgage rates keep heading lower? 

Housing Wire

Weekly new listing data for the last week over several previous years: 2024: 59,243 2023: 50,687 2022: 59,661 For some historical context, new listing data this week in 2011 was 362,248. However, growth is growth, and if we can match spring 2022 and 2021 levels, I will be a happy camper.

Mortgage 488
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. Total housing costs for American homeowners versus their wages are meager, and most will buy a home right away when they sell.

Inventory 541
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy. Mortgage rates spiked in March, and then the new listing data started to decline at the end of June.

Inventory 528
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. Inventory is always seasonal, but the decline in new listings this year was not what I wanted to see. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 384