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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. Instead, active listings are near all-time lows, which wasn’t the case from 2012-2019.

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This savagely unhealthy housing market needs higher rates

Housing Wire

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We are not taking the unhealthy housing market theme off this marketplace.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

To get the housing market to be sane and normal again, we need inventory to get back in a range between 1.52 – 1.93 million ; this is still historically low, but this gives the housing market a breather from the madness that we see today. Housing is the cost of shelter to own the debt; it’s not an investment.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Traditionally, when mortgage rates rise post-2012, home sales trend below 5 million. Since the summer of 2020, I have believed the housing market could change in terms of cooling down, but it would require the 10-year yield to break over 1.94%. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.

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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

growth for its top 20 city composite, and now you know why my most significant concern for housing was home prices overheating , not crashing like people have warned about from 2012-2021. This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. While people were talking about housing bubble 2.0

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The housing market is hot, but not in a bubble

Housing Wire

The housing market is hot. You may be told that future moderation indicates “cracks in the housing market, but don’t buy into it. You may be told that future moderation indicates “cracks in the housing market, but don’t buy into it. year over year. A normal trend will eventually materialize. Don’t listen.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Even though the labor market is currently showing signs of getting softer , there is no job-loss recession yet. As you can see in the chart below, there is a big difference between the current housing market and those looking for a repeat of 2008. Mortgage rates in a regular market should be 5.25% today but are at 6.5%.

Inventory 491