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New listings data falls for third week in a row 

Housing Wire

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. However, one thing is for sure, housing is not going to crash due to large-scale panic-selling — a scare tactic of late 2021 that didn’t work then or now.

Inventory 483
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

One issue that has created a waterfall dive in purchase application data and sales is that new listing data is declining faster than usual. Traditionally, when mortgage rates rise post-2012, home sales trend below 5 million. Since 2013 I have said that mortgage rates over 5.875% would be problematic to housing.

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Why higher rates aren’t crashing home prices

Housing Wire

Home prices aren’t crashing, despite what the housing bubble boys are saying. The housing bubble boys are a crew that from 2012 to 2019 screamed housing crash every year. Those who know my work over the last 10 years know that I have Batman/Joker relationship with the housing crash people, because they never stop.

Inventory 545
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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

A perfect example is that the last few years, new listings have been trending between 30,000 and 90,000 per week. It didn’t matter if mortgage rates were at 3% or 8%, new listing data has trended at historic lows the past few years. So you can see why we have so few stressed sellers.

Inventory 432
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. I knew housing would be OK as long as home prices only grew at 23% over five years — 4.6% This means less demand for housing.

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Is housing inventory growth really slowing down?

Housing Wire

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Once that happens, I can finally take the savagely unhealthy housing market theme off my talking points. What does this mean? million to 1.93

Inventory 519