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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. The red line is where NAR believes a balanced market is, at six months of supply.

Inventory 544
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 496
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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. When mortgage rates fall, demand picks up.

Mortgage 506
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Only from 2006-2011 did we see this break due to forced sellers who couldn’t buy homes. One issue that has created a waterfall dive in purchase application data and sales is that new listing data is declining faster than usual.

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Will mortgage rates keep heading lower? 

Housing Wire

The farther away we stay away from the savagely unhealthy housing market of March 2022, the happier I will be. Weekly new listing data for the last week over several previous years: 2024: 59,243 2023: 50,687 2022: 59,661 For some historical context, new listing data this week in 2011 was 362,248.

Mortgage 451
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. The days on market were too low.

Inventory 539
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! From NAR : “In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the COVID-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

Inventory 513