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Will mortgage rates keep heading lower? 

Housing Wire

Moving the needle doesn’t take much since we all know we have buyers ready to go and home sales are at record lows. Weekly new listing data for the last week over several previous years: 2024: 59,243 2023: 50,687 2022: 59,661 For some historical context, new listing data this week in 2011 was 362,248.

Mortgage 451
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and new listings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.

Inventory 544
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. Also, this is what the Federal Reserve wants.

Inventory 539
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 513
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Homebuyers increasingly seek ARMs as mortgage rates soar 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates were 7.22% for conforming and 6.15% for jumbos at Mortgage News Daily on Wednesday, a spread of 107 bps. Buyers, builders and sellers take a step back as inflation persists . Sellers are responding to the shift in the market and pulling back on listing activity, resulting in a 9.8% ARMs pick up steam.

Mortgage 398
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Existing home sales have more legs to go lower, especially now that new listing data is falling. A traditional primary resident seller is also a buyer, which means if they don’t list, they’re not just taking a potential home to be bought off the table — they’re taking a future sale off the books as well.

Inventory 443
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. One of the issues with existing home inventory has been that, for the most part, a traditional seller is usually a buyer of a home. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 381