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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales in December; Individual investors purchased 16% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 29% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 2% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 29 days. This is a positive for housing in 2024 as most sellers are buyers.

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Homebuyers increasingly seek ARMs as mortgage rates soarĀ 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates were 7.22% for conforming and 6.15% for jumbos at Mortgage News Daily on Wednesday, a spread of 107 bps. Buyers, builders and sellers take a step back as inflation persists . Sellers are responding to the shift in the market and pulling back on listing activity, resulting in a 9.8% ARMs pick up steam.

Mortgage 393
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HINTS OF SHARP INCREASE IN NEW CONSTRUCTION

Will Springer Realtor

Others ā€“ Meritage Homes (+20% YoY in 2021) and Tri Point Homes (+15-30% YoY in 2022) ā€“ expect tremendous growth of new communities. And many of the new projects are larger than in years past. Builders began construction on just under a million single-family homes in 2020. BY THE NUMBERS. >> Buyers secured 3.8 Thatā€™s fair.

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

This yearā€™s ā€œcold downā€ is stark, with 36% fewer new listings and about 26% fewer homes under contract (Pendings) for all King County home types combined as well as single-family structures alone ā€“ and thatā€™s simply from October to November. The number of active King County listings, as of Dec. 1, was about 17% lower than Nov.

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Affordability Woes Prompt Historic Housing Slowdown

Will Springer Realtor

Beyond labor strife, Americaā€™s home buyers and sellers appear to be on strike as well. October figures from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service strongly suggest prospective buyers and sellers are taking a wait-and-see approach. New listings in King were off 26% month-to-month (1583) and Active listings were down 9.4% (2296).

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

Builders are trying to catch up and, according to federal officials , there are more housing units under construction today than at any time in the last 50 years. An annual survey released this month by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said renters put the probability of ever owning a home at 40%, down from 44% last year.

HOA 36
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IS THE REAL ESTATE WINDOW CLOSING SHUT?

Will Springer Realtor

I also heard the same question from buyers this year. While early to mid-spring was frenzied ā€“ featuring waves of cash-carrying buyers with their contingency-absent offers ā€“ the housing environment settled down to a somewhat civilized pace by September and likely for the next few months. And that answer appears to be ā€œyes.ā€