Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

Inventory 493

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2023

Debt-ceiling drama pushed bond yields up last week, taking mortgage rates to a new 2023 high in the middle of the spring home-selling season. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,914 week to week, even though new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023.

Housing Market 487

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 487

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book. The mortgage spread data got worse last week. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 495

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 495

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. While inventory levels are still too low for my taste, it’s good that we are not at 2022 levels when we only had 240,194 total active single-family listings for Americans to buy. Not too much movement on the 10-year yield or mortgage rates.

Housing Market 517

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 517

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 422

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 422

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Purchase application data didn’t budge much on the week-to-week data.

Inventory 366

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 366

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 538

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe this was the most overlooked housing story of the last year because even as mortgage rates rose all the way to 8% , the home price cut percentage data was always about 4% lower year over year. Now that mortgage rates have fallen and as we start the brand new year, we need to focus on this data line more.

Inventory 540

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 540

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 6-13): Inventory rose from 471,349 to 473,406 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 931,002 I don’t want to jinx this because active inventory rose last year at this time.

Inventory 519

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 519

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

The Federal Reserve played the good grinch for Christmas this year and delivered the best gift for homebuyers nationwide, leading to lower mortgage rates. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates fell together after the Fed meetings, which gave us mortgage rates under 7% last week. We have had an almost 1.5%

Inventory 532

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 532

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. Also, the volume of active listings was higher in 2022 this week, even though we were working from a lower level.

Inventory 510

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 510

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. But even with mortgage rates getting as high as 8%, we’ve yet to hit within that range. Last week, mortgage rates rose toward 7.56%. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Inventory 442

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 442

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Total active listings grew 662 weekly, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows. This doesn’t appear to be the case for 2023.

Housing Market 419

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 419

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. Purchase apps had a small week-to-week gain.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. Mortgage rates rose last week after the better-than-anticipated jobless claims data but even with higher rates, we also had a third week of positive purchase application data.

Inventory 447

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 447

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints. Seasonal impacts are the norm with housing, and new listing data is negative 6% year to date. We saw new listing data decline when rates got to 6.25% the first time. NAR lists the current inventory at 1.22

Inventory 459

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 459

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? New listing data collapsed, but we are putting an asterisk on that data line for this week. Weekly inventory increased by 1,734.

Housing Market 368

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 368

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly housing inventory decreased by 6,801, while new listing data is still negative year-over-year. A traditional seller is a conventional buyer most of the time.

Housing Market 398

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 398

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. So where does all that drama leave us for 2023?

Housing Market 529

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 529

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 25, 2024

As interest rates strive to find equilibrium following their sharp decline in 2020, buyers and sellers have had to accept that the era of pandemic-induced low rates is over, ushering in a period of higher monthly mortgage payments. 2023 Sees the Lowest Number of Homes Listed in Thirteen Years In 2023, listings dropped 19.7%

Inventory 52

Inventory Sellers Buyers Contracts 52

Will Springer Realtor

MAY 13, 2024

SETTLEMENT FOLLOW-UP A judge has preliminarily approved the $418M antitrust class-action settlement involving sellers’ compensation to brokers/agents in residential real estate sales. News of the settlement and its impact topped last month’s newsletter. Details still need to be ironed out, but U.S.

HOA 36

HOA Transportation Construction Buyers 36

Will Springer Realtor

AUGUST 11, 2023

NAR’s Housing Affordability Index is a good measure of whether a household earns enough to qualify for a mortgage on a typical home. None of the Seattle-area counties were on the list. >> King County new listings fell 13% from June to July (2158), led by a 20% slide in Seattle (690).

Buyers 36

Buyers Development Construction New Listings 36

Will Springer Realtor

APRIL 8, 2021

The boost in equity was helped most simply by saving more while in “pandemic hibernation” and from many homeowners refinancing mortgages amid generationally low interest rates. >> >> Through February, the number of existing home listings across the U.S. of all mortgages in the country. There are 2.54

Inventory 36

Inventory New Listings HOA Buyers 36

Will Springer Realtor

JULY 8, 2022

This, coupled with a significant portion of homeowners standing pat with mortgages at or below 4% interest (and other factors) is causing the market to lose steam. Home shoppers often focus on the direction of mortgage interest rates, which have jumped more than two percentage points this year alone to a range of 5.75%-6.0%

Housing Market 36

Housing Market Marketing Inventory HOA 36