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The mortgage rate lock-in didn’t start in 2022

Housing Wire

After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday. That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days.

Mortgage 357
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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. We’re not seeing seller stress in the inventory data but just a typical increase in inventory when rates are higher, which looks perfectly normal. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.

Mortgage 508
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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. the seasonal peak this year was on Nov.

Mortgage 527
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Spring housing market gets more inventory

Housing Wire

This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book.

Inventory 497
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once new listings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 502
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Housing inventory fell last week, but it won’t derail the spring bump

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 443
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Why is housing inventory growing with higher mortgage rates?

Housing Wire

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. Here is a look at inventory last week: Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Inventory 532