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Developing a lending strategy for rising mortgage rates

Housing Wire

In fact, the largest home purchase year in this nation’s history was 2005 when rates were near 7.5%. But as America returns to work, supplies for builders will return to needed production levels, new home construction will continue to rise, and ultimately the supply-demand imbalance will rectify itself.

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New home sales defy recession calls

Housing Wire

Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. As we can see in the chart below, new home sales aren’t booming like what we saw at the peak of 2005 but are getting back to trend sales growth from the bottom we saw when rates got 5% in 2018. This is 12.2 percent (±12.8 percent (±15.5 This represents a supply of 6.7

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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. If sales are working from an elevated number, like what we saw from 2003-2005, it’s a different subject altogether. months of the supply is active listings, 68K 5 months of the supply is still under construction, 280K 1.6 percent (±20.4 percent (±13.1

Inventory 435
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New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. We talked about this in March , and even last year, when I wrote about the problem with the housing construction boom premise. “I don’t expect a boom in housing construction.

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New home sales juggernaut continues

Housing Wire

higher than the same time last year, according to the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. However, demand has construction playing catch-up , as the estimate of new houses for sale at the end of October was just 278,000. Sales are increasingly being driven from homes not yet under construction.

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New home sales report boosted by positive revisions

Housing Wire

It gives an idea of what to expect for housing construction. months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. The builders will pull back on construction growth if new homes sales start to head lower. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. From Census: The seasonally?adjusted

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New home sales proving Wall Street was wrong 

Housing Wire

According to this theory, we have more homes under construction than any time in history. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. As we can see in the chart below, it’s not like the new home sales market is booming at all; we aren’t anywhere near the top of sales in 2005 or in 2020. percent (±15.2

Inventory 467