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The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

So for now, the builders will take their time with the homes under construction and make sure they offer enough incentives to unload the new home supply they’re dealing with. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

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New home sales defy recession calls

Housing Wire

This means new homes — with all the bells and whistles — can peel some buyers from the existing home sales market, especially if they pay down mortgage rates. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Also, in the chart below, we can all agree it isn’t housing 2005 or housing 2008 with new home sales.

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Housing starts reach nine-month high in December

Housing Wire

Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Construction of single-family homes dropped 2.3% from November to 1.172 million units, the construction of multifamily units again posted a sizable increase of 13.7% 2021 was a strong year for construction.”. Census Bureau. to 524,000 units. increase from 2020.

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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

They don’t ever have to have the conversation about how low their total payment is in the new home they’re buying, unlike some of their buyers (which explains higher cancellation rates). Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The builders will pull back on construction when the supply is 6.5

Inventory 419
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Low housing inventory a win for homebuilders

Housing Wire

This business model means that the builders are very mindful of the demand for their product and keep an eye out on their main competition, the existing home market, where supply is cheaper for a buyer. They can cut prices, pay down mortgage rates for their buyers, and do what they need to to make it work for them to move their products.

Inventory 529
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New home sales proving Wall Street was wrong 

Housing Wire

According to this theory, we have more homes under construction than any time in history. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. As we can see in the chart below, it’s not like the new home sales market is booming at all; we aren’t anywhere near the top of sales in 2005 or in 2020. percent (±15.2

Inventory 458
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March new home sales: the last positive revision for 2022?

Housing Wire

The new home sales market doesn’t have a 28% cash-buyer profile as we saw in the last existing home sales report. So, while cash buyers as a percent of sales have been growing, this sector is driven by mortgage buyers primarily. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. percent (±12.9