Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

Price reductions ticked up this week for the first time since November in the face of rising mortgage rates. We can see the impact of higher mortgage rates slowing homebuyer demand. Now, mortgage rates are 100 basis points higher. We still see more sellers than last year. The pace of sales inched down, too.

Sellers 401

Sellers Inventory New Listings Contracts 401

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

You also know that new listings are up over last year, too. New listings volume is up, too. There were 58,000 new listings this week, with 10,000 of those homes already under contract as immediate sales. A few more sellers appear to be braving the market each week. Short on time?

New Listings 479

New Listings Contracts Inventory Housing Market 479

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

New listings climbed during the past week and there are now 72,000 more single-family homes on the market. It appeared that new listings might be on the decline already, but the pace picked up a tad this week, which is encouraging. No one wants a scenario in which there’s a flood of sellers but no buyers.

Inventory 511

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 511

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

The holidays have come early for the mortgage industry. Mortgage rates fell below the 7% threshold this week as markets prepared for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s announcement on Wednesday. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.95% for the week ending Dec. on Thursday.

Mortgage 476

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 476

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 536

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 536

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 381

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 381

Housing Wire

MAY 22, 2024

Looking ahead, price growth will cool down in the second half of 2024 because of increased inventory and more homes taking a price cut before selling. The chart below shows that the inventory growth rate picked up more in 2024 after March. We have had two times recently when mortgage rates dropped more than 1%.

Inventory 449

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Contracts 449

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 499

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 499

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. To top it all off, we started 2022 at all-time lows, forcing bidding action everywhere until mortgage rates rose. And we aren’t talking about your grandfather’s mortgage rates rising; we went from 2.5% Image by Brandon Johnson/HW Media.).

Sellers 498

Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 498

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 517

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 517

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

Pulling comps in 2024 is tough. I also have some market recap visuals to unpack what’s been happening in 2024 so far. UPCOMING SPEAKING GIGS: 2/19/24 Matt the Mortgage Guy YouTube […] The post The challenge of pulling comps in 2024 first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog. Think about it this way.

Appraisal 309

Appraisal Marketing Mortgage New Listings 309

Housing Wire

MAY 20, 2024

There are more homes sitting on the market that didn’t get offers at their original list price and have had to reduce their prices than in any recent May. Well, I have revised down my estimates for national home-price appreciation for 2024. The second dynamic to watch here is how many sellers are cutting their prices each week.

Inventory 392

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 392

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2024

Mortgage rates are back over 7%. Even as money is more expensive and there are more sellers than a year ago, we can also see slight home sales growth over 2023. The economy has continued to be strong, so mortgage rates have defied expectations and remained very high. Is new supply growing out of balance with demand?

Mortgage 481

Mortgage Inventory Sellers New Listings 481

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2024

Based on the trends we can see after the start of the year, I’ll project 2024 will see about 15% home sales growth over 2023. These are very clear trends as we start the new year. 2023 started with recovery, but slowed down in Q3 as mortgage rates hit 8%. But, 2024 is starting stronger than last year.

Real Estate 487

Real Estate Marketing Inventory New Listings 487

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 373

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 373

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. At the same time, seller volume dried up. But now sellers are coming back into the market. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. More sellers means more sales in 2024.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 457

Housing Wire

MARCH 1, 2024

We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on new listings.” But as the calendar flipped to 2024 and as we inch closer to the spring selling season, Fischer said things have started to pick up. in mid-January 2024. Altos considers anything above a reading of 30 to be a seller’s market.

Housing Market 395

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Construction 395

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. Weekly housing inventory data We’ve now had back-to-back weeks of healthy housing inventory growth and spring 2024 is much healthier than spring 2023. The mortgage spread data got worse last week.

Inventory 495

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 495

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data We are near the end of the year, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory will take hold until we find the seasonal bottom in inventory in 2024. However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. Mortgage rates started the week at 6.65% and ended at 6.68%.

Housing Market 517

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 517

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

Elevated mortgage rates and high home prices pushed sales of existing homes down again in October to the lowest monthly pace since August 2010. While circumstances for buyers remain tight, home sellers have done well as prices continue to rise year-over-year, including a new all-time high for the month of October,” Yun said. “In

Inventory 377

Inventory Realtors New Listings Contracts 377

Housing Wire

MAY 13, 2024

Home sales continue to run just a little ahead of last year’s pace, but with mortgage rates in the 7s, there are a ton of potential homebuyers sitting on the sidelines. All in all, you can see how effectively 7% mortgage rates have slowed the housing market. real estate market as of mid-May 2024. That’s up 1.5% for the week.

New Listings 402

New Listings Contracts Inventory Sellers 402

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 521

Housing Wire

APRIL 22, 2024

After a couple weeks of big jumps for mortgage rates , we’re still seeing relatively surprising strength in the housing market. We’re watching a few key factors to see if homebuyers are backing off in the face of increased mortgage rates. With the most recent mortgage rate jump, inventory growth has also accelerated.

Inventory 474

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 474

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. However, mortgage rates didn’t stay flat. 1 and as of today, March 18, mortgage rates are 30-40 basis points higher than Jan.

Inventory 384

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 384

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 6-13): Inventory rose from 471,349 to 473,406 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 931,002 I don’t want to jinx this because active inventory rose last year at this time.

Inventory 519

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 519

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2024

With the Easter holiday last week, data for housing inventory , new listings and the pace of new contracts started all took a breather from their growth pace. Here’s how 2024 is shaping up: There are now more listings, more active inventory and more sales than a year ago. In other words, seller growth continues.

Inventory 441

Inventory Contracts New Listings Sellers 441

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 10, 2023

Mortgage rates continue to climb. It’s not uncommon to hear rates quoted over 8% for a 30-year fixed mortgage. 8% mortgage rates are a new reality We’ve been talking about the impact of 8% mortgage rates for months. The path to finally having more selection for homebuyers is through higher mortgage rates.

Mortgage 391

Mortgage Inventory Contracts Sellers 391

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2023

We may be nearing the bottom in home sales even if mortgage rates don’t decline. At least, that’s what the data seems to suggest as inventory grows and new listings decline at a less aggressive rate than last year. There are far fewer sellers now than in any recent year. Price cuts are still on the rise About 38.9%

New Listings 466

New Listings Inventory Contracts Housing Market 466

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 422

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 422

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

After 2010, qualified mortgage laws were in place, meaning everyone getting a mortgage has to be able to repay the loan. You can see the drastic change this made in the Mortgage Bankers Association Credit Availability index , below, which skyrocketed in 2005 and 2006 before an epic collapse in 2008.

Inventory 416

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 416

Housing Wire

MARCH 25, 2024

So while we can see currently the prices of home sales holding up, the signals for the end of 2024 and into 2025 seem to suggest we’re heading for flat home prices. Mortgage rates seem to have finally settled down. More sellers means more sales will happen. In total, new listings data is 14% more than last year.

New Listings 479

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 479

Housing Wire

APRIL 19, 2024

year over year in the first quarter of 2024, with the median price hitting a record $1.225 million, according to data from Redfin. High-end buyers tend to be more immune to mortgage rate fluctuations and flock to the luxury housing market. New listings of luxury homes soared 18.5% Luxury home prices in the U.S.

Luxury Properties 406

Luxury Properties New Listings Buyers Housing Market 406

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2024

Home sellers are starting to ease back into the market, new listings are finally exceeding the levels of a year ago. The longer we stay with mortgage rates higher, the more inventory will build closer to where it used to be. Mortgage rates are higher than they were a year ago. It’s a positive development.

Inventory 419

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 419

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 16, 2023

It’s quite clear that homebuyers have hit the brakes waiting to see if mortgage rates recede from these multi-decade highs. Note the inventory climb is not from sellers. There were only 57,000 new listings plus another 10,000 immediate sales. 5% fewer sellers each week than last year. Some 38.2%

Inventory 435

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 435