Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 499

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 499

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 423

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 423

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

Inventory 532

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 532

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 516

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

“We’re seeing positive signs that for-sale inventory is beginning to increase in many local markets across the state, which should encourage buyers who may have been waiting on the sidelines,” Arvin said in a statement. “New listings of single-family homes were up 16.7%

New Listings 410

New Listings Realtors Real Estate Inventory 410

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 469

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 469

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 438

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 438

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 435

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 435

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 539

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 539

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

In the 24 months beginning March 2022, the U.S. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday.

Mortgage 385

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 385

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. Of my initial expectations this year — rising inventory, rising sales rates, rising prices — only rising inventory remains clear at this moment as we finish Q1 with rising interest rates. As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S.

Inventory 401

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 401

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 504

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 504

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. 2022 21.7% 2022 21.7%

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 526

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

Higher mortgage rates have forced available inventory to climb all year. Housing inventory There are now 526,000 single-family homes active unsold on the market. jump in unsold inventory in a week is very notable. As mortgage rates rise, inventory rises. Or, to put it another way: demand slows, inventory grows.

Inventory 391

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 391

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. This year the dynamic is different.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 457

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. A perfect example was in 2022: when housing inventory rose faster as demand crashed, the percentage of price cuts rose faster. Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Inventory 506

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 506

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 529

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 529

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 458

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 458

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023. The answer is no!

Inventory 530

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 530

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise. Not only has that not happened, but in the last two weeks, with mortgage rates pushing even higher, active inventory only grew by 2,286 single-family homes. If we start from Nov.

Inventory 465

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 465

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 498

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 498

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing.

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. As we can see in the chart below, it’s been so slow that year-over-year inventory is now negative versus 2022. As we can see below, there is a big difference between 2023 data for this week versus 2022 data.

Inventory 465

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 465

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 483

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 10, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable decline in new listings and active inventory was barely positive. Does this mean housing inventory has begun its seasonal decline? Last year, we saw an active listing decline in the same week but then listing growth continued until Oct. However, one week doesn’t make a trend.

Inventory 469

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 469

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 6,722 weekly. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

Inventory 492

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 492

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. 9, 2022 , it’s been 21 positive prints versus 17 negative prints and one flat week.

New Listings 367

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 367

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

Inventory 413

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 413

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year.

Inventory 449

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 449

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 20, 2023

Last week, I asserted that housing inventory growth had finished for the year. This week, the available inventory of unsold single-family homes crept up minimally. Housing inventory inches up There were 570,000 single-family homes on the market, or 0.5% Turns out I was wrong! After all, more sellers means more sales in 2024.

Inventory 411

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 411

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. And existing home sales crashed in 2022 from a peak of around 6.5 During that period, we saw new listing data decline. The days on market were too low.

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 539

Housing Wire

AUGUST 6, 2023

The housing inventory data from last week makes me wonder if we are starting the seasonal decline in active listings in August. Saying that the housing inventory growth in 2023 has been disappointing is an understatement. Then the growth rate was so slow that we had weeks of negative year-over-year inventory data.

Inventory 368

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 368

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. If we are trending below 4 million — a possibility with new listing data trending at all-time lows — then we have much weaker demand than people think. million in March 2022). million in March 2022). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month We only have 2.6

Inventory 523

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 523

Appraisal Buzz

MARCH 26, 2024

As of March 17, there were roughly 795,645 active listings. There were roughly 88,902 new listings added during that same four weeks – and increase of 15% and the biggest increase since June 2021. The surge in listings is bringing some buyers back to the market, the firm says. The total number of U.S. The median U.S.

New Listings 195

New Listings Buyers Marketing Inventory 195

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Last year, the seasonal decline took longer than usual, but 2022 was an abnormal year with mortgage rates.

Inventory 369

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 369