Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

Inventory 459

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 459

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov.

Inventory 447

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 447

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2023

The haunted house ride with the bond market and mortgage rates continued this week, but one housing data line hasn’t been spooked. New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. If we start from Nov.

New Listings 516

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Housing Market 516

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 6,722 weekly. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 476

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November.

Housing Market 483

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 483

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. We never saw the Airbnb crash that dominated some of the housing headlines in 2023. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

Housing Market 517

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 517

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory.

Inventory 519

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 519

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

Inventory 398

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 398

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 469

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 469

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. 9, 2022, until February and we can see how that is playing out in home sales.

Inventory 427

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 427

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. We are working from a shallow bar in this index – seven years of growth were taken away in one year in 2022.

Inventory 434

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 434

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 434

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 434

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 403

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 403

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 466

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 466

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! The weekly inventory data, which had fallen faster than I had anticipated the last few weeks, has now seen a slight uptick. Weekly housing inventory.

Inventory 530

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 530

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

The housing market in the state of Florida saw higher median home prices, more real estate listings and a higher number of active listings during the month of January, according to data released Thursday by Florida Realtors , a state-based trade organization for real estate professionals.

New Listings 394

New Listings Realtors Real Estate Inventory 394

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 403

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 403

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 457

Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Here’s the housing market rundown for the last week: Purchase application data showed positive weekly growth again — and the bounce from the bottom is more noticeable now. Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 486

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 486

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. NAR Active Inventory Data, traditionally between 2-2.5

Inventory 416

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 416

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

Inventory 515

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 515

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 422

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 422

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. However, last week was good; we had less inventory growth than I would like to see, but it’s better than the past few weeks. Can we keep this up before the seasonal decline of active listings?

Inventory 356

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 356

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

In the 24 months beginning March 2022, the U.S. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. We see the same pattern in the new listings rate each week.

Mortgage 366

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 366

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 493

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. But now sellers are coming back into the market. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 457

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. A perfect example was in 2022: when housing inventory rose faster as demand crashed, the percentage of price cuts rose faster. What is all this data pointing to?

Inventory 500

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 500

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. I talk frequently about how rising rates creates rising inventory.

Inventory 384

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 384

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 536

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 536

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Things are different post-2020, and inventory is bottoming out later in the year.

Inventory 371

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 371

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 442

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 442

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. 2022 21.7% 2022 21.7%

Inventory 519

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 519

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. Last year, the seasonal inventory bottom happened on April 14, which was the the longest time to find a seasonal bottom ever.

Housing Market 433

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 433