Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023.

Inventory 529

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 529

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much.

New Listings 366

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 366

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. Last year, II picked up on the trend that new listing data was creating a historical bottom as the data line wasn’t heading lower with higher rates.

Housing Market 450

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 450

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. However, one thing is for sure, housing is not going to crash due to large-scale panic-selling — a scare tactic of late 2021 that didn’t work then or now.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 483

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Tracking housing inventory this summer is like watching a zombie slowly walking on the beach. Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Two weeks ago we had some good movement with active listings growing almost 9,000 , but last week that fell to just 4,988, and new listings data also fell.

Housing Market 355

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 355

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. My 2023 inventory forecast needs a lot of help, as new listing data isn’t growing at all still.

Inventory 445

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 445

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 439

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 439

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022. We had new listings growth from 2021 to 2022, but that’s not the case this year.

Inventory 449

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 449

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

I would feel much better about the inventory situation if we added an additional 3,000-8,000 houses to the weekly data line from current levels. However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%.

Inventory 477

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 477

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

inventory saga: after mortgage rates spiked above 6% in 2022, that jump-started the unhealthy reality of new listing data trending negative year over year. So much for the 2021 grifting premise that once mortgage rates rise, many Americans will list to sell and get out! Of course, we have a third story in this U.S.

Inventory 490

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 490

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly inventory change (Feb. NAR: Total Inventory levels are 980,000.

Housing Market 413

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 413

Housing Wire

JULY 16, 2023

In a normal market, mortgage rates would easily be under 6% with the 10-year yield where it is. Weekly housing inventory We had mild inventory growth last week and new listing data is trending at the lowest levels ever. In a few months, we will see the seasonal decline in active listings inventory that we see every year.

Housing Market 368

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 368

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 498

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 498

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

However, last year was very abnormal: We had the biggest one-year sales crash ever, working from the lowest active listings data in March 2022. New listings had a good week, considering how the year has gone, which is a plus as this data line was down five straight weeks.

Inventory 363

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 363

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? Weekly inventory increased by 1,734. I am hoping it’s just a one-week event.

Housing Market 375

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 375

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Weekly inventory fell by 6201 , and new listing data is down noticeably from last year, which was different than last week. Using the NAR data, this was the premise of my forecast last year for housing inventory to break over 1.52 million in 2023.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%.

Mortgage 349

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 349

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings.

Mortgage 507

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 507

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 468

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 468

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

However, this year, even though the spreads are still historically bad, they’ve improved over last year, which is a plus for the housing market. The fact that this data line is now positive is a very promising sign for the housing market. Right now, the difference between them is 2.60%.

Mortgage 394

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 394

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 437

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 437

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. You can see our debate on this topic here.

Inventory 532

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 532

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless. We saw a slight decline in new listings data week to week. We saw a slight decline in new listings data week to week. For now, I will chalk this up to the seasonal choppiness we sometimes see with inventory data.

Inventory 417

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 417

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. Still, new listing data is a positive story. Still, new listing data is a positive story. This was my big talking point on CNBC earlier in the year. Want more context?

Inventory 421

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 421

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

This is why following the housing market tracker tied to the 10-year yield, mortgage rates, and purchase application data will be as critical as last year to tell you what’s going on in the housing market. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 541

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 541

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

As we can see below, we are more than double the lows we saw in March of 2022, when I had already deemed the housing market savagely unhealthy. We should see the seasonal bottom soon and then the traditional increase in active inventory to match the growth in new listings data.

Mortgage 516

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 516

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

In addition, jobless claims data had another solid print, showing that the labor market hasn’t broken yet, which led to more selling of the 10-year yield. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

Mortgage 430

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 430

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history.

Inventory 479

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 479

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. We might have an average year in housing compared to the past four years! For the first time in a while, this was a good week for new listing data. What is all this data pointing to?

Inventory 506

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 506

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 524

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The positive story for housing in 2024 has been the inventory growth we have seen year-over-year. The farther away we stay away from the savagely unhealthy housing market of March 2022, the happier I will be. Yes, I know it’s not a lot of homes, but growth is growth, people!

Mortgage 454

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 454

Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

In 2022, mortgage rates got as high as 7.37%, so the question was: how low do rates have to go for housing demand to get better? On June 16, 2022, I put the housing market into a recession , which is where housing demand, housing jobs, housing income and housing production all drop.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data One substantial positive story for 2024 is that we have more housing inventory year over year. I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings.

Inventory 503

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 503

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

We saw some good growth this week, and hopefully, in 2024, we can close the gap and get back to 2021-2022 data on new listings. That is the critical period for new listing data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers. Weekly inventory change (Nov. 10) : Inventory rose from 566,882 to 566,941 Same week last year (Nov.

Inventory 456

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 456

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

On a positive note, however, the days on the market are no longer a teenager anymore: that metric grew from 18 days to 21 days. I cheer because the savagely unhealthy housing market theme I talked about back in February of this year was the same premise of the housing reset talking point the Federal Reserve uses.

Inventory 463

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 463

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 20-27): Inventory fell from 472,852 to 466,391 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 938,453 Last week, we saw active inventory fall slightly week to week.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 516