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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data.

Inventory 543
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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. NAR Active Inventory Data, traditionally between 2-2.5

Inventory 416
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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year.

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“It seems impossible:” Bergen County, NJ’s housing market is vexing agents and buyers

Housing Wire

Real estate agents in the leafy suburbs of Bergen County, New Jersey say the current housing market — with historically low inventory and record-high prices — is actually more challenging than the multiple offer chaos they sweated through during the pandemic. “At Altos considers any score above 30 to be a seller’s market.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.

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Why higher rates aren’t crashing home prices

Housing Wire

I mean, it’s year 11 now of the housing bubble 2.0 In 2022, mortgage rates got as high as 7.37%, so the question was: how low do rates have to go for housing demand to get better? On June 16, 2022, I put the housing market into a recession , which is where housing demand, housing jobs, housing income and housing production all drop.

Inventory 545
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. I knew housing would be OK as long as home prices only grew at 23% over five years — 4.6% We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.