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New listings data falls for third week in a row 

Housing Wire

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. New listing data was trending at all-time lows in 2021 abd 2022 and now it’s creating a new all-time low trend in 2023.

Inventory 483
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Days on market grow despite low inventory for existing homes

Housing Wire

On a positive note, however, the days on the market are no longer a teenager anymore: that metric grew from 18 days to 21 days. I cheer because the savagely unhealthy housing market theme I talked about back in February of this year was the same premise of the housing reset talking point the Federal Reserve uses. months to 3.3

Inventory 463
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Why higher rates aren’t crashing home prices

Housing Wire

The housing bubble boys are a crew that from 2012 to 2019 screamed housing crash every year. On June 16, 2022, I put the housing market into a recession , which is where housing demand, housing jobs, housing income and housing production all drop. Purchase application data The housing market began to change starting Nov.

Inventory 545
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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

On top of more legitimate buyers, we fixed the credit markets, meaning housing credit looks fantastic. A perfect example is that the last few years, new listings have been trending between 30,000 and 90,000 per week. Contrast that to the time from 2008 to 2012 when this data line trended at 250,000 to 400,000 per week.

Inventory 432
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. One issue that has created a waterfall dive in purchase application data and sales is that new listing data is declining faster than usual. Traditionally, when mortgage rates rise post-2012, home sales trend below 5 million.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.