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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory falls even lower

Housing Wire

2021: 66,836 2022: 67,567 2023: 49,045 Compare our current new listing data to weekly new listing data in previous years when we had a more normal housing market: 2015: 94,470 2016: 86,608 2017: 78,886 The NAR data going back decades shows how difficult it’s been to get back to anything normal on the active listing side.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

In 2007, when sales were down big, total active listings peaked at over 4 million. We had high inventory levels while the unemployment rate was still excellent in 2007. This proves that the mass supply growth we saw from 2005-2007 was due to credit stress, not because the economy was in a recession; the U.S.

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The Similarities Between 2007 and Today

Appraisal Buzz

During the 2007-10 mortgage default meltdown, appraisals were a target of complaints and allegations by lenders, the GSEs, some state appraisal boards, and a few unscrupulous entrepreneurs. Between 2002-2005 in many markets, the real estate market was scorching, much like it is today.

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Opinion: How GSE reform could create a healthier housing market?

Housing Wire

Without a national market, local supply and demand for mortgages could become unbalanced. The mortgage markets of 2007 and 2020 remind us that there is no durable mortgage market without federal backing (including the banking system). Nongovernment-backed lending disappeared in both cases virtually overnight.

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Why mortgage lending standards will ease in 2021

Housing Wire

Economists and housing experts say mortgage lending standards will likely loosen in 2021, despite the increased risk of delinquencies ahead. housing market. The post Why mortgage lending standards will ease in 2021 appeared first on HousingWire. Such a scenario illustrates the growing disparities in the U.S.

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What would it take to crash the housing market?

Housing Wire

In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. But, that doesn’t mean housing is going to crash. I set a specific home-price growth model for the years 2020-2024 that said if home prices only grew at 23% during this five-year period, the housing market would still be OK, given wage growth.