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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. It is crazy to think we are seeing these four things happen in the housing market considering that even in March of this year we were seeing bidding wars accelerate before mortgage rates rose.

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Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

Housing Wire

Nevertheless, some supposedly erudite thinkers on the housing market are saying this, so I thought I should investigate. If the housing market was in the grips of some mass hysteria of irrational purchasing, we would expect to see certain hallmarks in the data. The post Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

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This is not 2008 all over again for the housing market

Housing Wire

When you hear people say that the current housing market is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one. When you don’t have a boom in housing market demand, it’s hard to have an epic bust. The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble.

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Here’s why the housing market needs higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

This was the last thing we needed to see for the Housing Market , which went from unhealthy to savagely unhealthy. What I am hoping for is that higher rates create more days on the market, cool price growth down, and at some point this year, we stop being negative and be positive on a year-over-year basis.

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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. This is why the days on the market are so low historically after 2020. million, up from 1.03

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The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. We never saw the credit sales boom as we did from 2002-2005, so the builders themselves are in a better position to manage their future. real estate investors and affordable homes.

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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows.