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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. This is why the days on the market are so low historically after 2020.

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Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

Housing Wire

Nevertheless, some supposedly erudite thinkers on the housing market are saying this, so I thought I should investigate. If the housing market was in the grips of some mass hysteria of irrational purchasing, we would expect to see certain hallmarks in the data. The post Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

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This is not 2008 all over again for the housing market

Housing Wire

When you hear people say that the current housing market is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one. The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble. Because of this I am calling this the unhealthiest housing market post-2010.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

To get the housing market to be sane and normal again, we need inventory to get back in a range between 1.52 – 1.93 million ; this is still historically low, but this gives the housing market a breather from the madness that we see today. Housing is the cost of shelter to own the debt; it’s not an investment.

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The 2022 housing market: A tale of two halves

Housing Wire

Marty Green thinks of the housing market in 2022 as two very different movies. ” Houses were selling at a fever pitch in a matter of days, with multiple offers, waived contingencies and buyers paying $100,000(!) But the housing market in the second half of 2022? over asking price. High octane stuff.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. Since 2013 I have said that mortgage rates over 5.875% would be problematic to housing.

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This savagely unhealthy housing market needs higher rates

Housing Wire

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We are not taking the unhealthy housing market theme off this marketplace.