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Logan Mohtashami on why this is a savagely unhealthy housing market

Housing Wire

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. HousingWire: How will rising rates affect new home construction? Housing construction will be impacted if the monthly supply for new homes breaks above 6.5 months on a 3-month average.

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Logan Mohtashami unpacks the slow train wreck that’s been happening in housing inventory

Housing Wire

Since 2014 inventory has been falling slowly for years, then here come years 2020-2024, our most prominent housing demographic patch ever in history with low mortgage rates. The big difference now than, let’s say, what we saw from 2002-2008. Months are homes under construction 0.8 Then this happened. Ghost Supply 2.2

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The 2021 housing market recap by Logan Mohtashami

Housing Wire

The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. mortgage rates, so on the mortgage rate side of the equation, it’s never been better. Housing permits are growing and this is a good thing for the economy and construction jobs. These households got sub-3.5%

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Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now

Housing Wire

Look at the jobs data and which sector added jobs in March: Construction jobs came in positively, but retail trade took a big hit. Job openings in construction and manufacturing have picked up recently. Months are homes under construction 0.8 And the unemployment rate currently stands at 3.6%. Ghost Supply 2.2

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Here’s why the housing market needs higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

However, the demand curve of what we have in housing too doesn’t resemble the speculation demand curve of what we saw from 2002-to 2005. Even today, we aren’t even at 2002 levels in the MBA index. This is a risk to housing construction because 5% mortgage rates paused construction for 30 months back then.

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How will rising rates affect new home construction?

Housing Wire

Census Bureau released their construction report for February, showing a positive trend in housing construction data with a lovely print in housing permits at 1,859,000 and housing starts at 1,769,000. So far, housing construction has done well during 2020-2022 considering the economic drama. Today, the U.S.

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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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