Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 533

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 533

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

Mortgage 534

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 534

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 487

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 487

Inman

OCTOBER 19, 2023

Homebuyers are backing away from the market as mortgage rates continue to climb. But new listings aren't declining as quickly, Redfin reports.

New Listings 182

New Listings Buyers Marketing Mortgage 182

Inman

FEBRUARY 5, 2024

percent decline in net new listings and a 2 percent decrease in contract signings, driven by mortgage rate fluctuations, according to HouseCanary. In January, the real estate market saw a 17.5

New Listings 167

New Listings Contracts Inventory Real Estate 167

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 535

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

Inventory 515

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 515

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

The holidays have come early for the mortgage industry. Mortgage rates fell below the 7% threshold this week as markets prepared for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s announcement on Wednesday. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.95% for the week ending Dec. on Thursday.

Mortgage 481

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 481

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

As demand for homes continues to outpace new listings, CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) is introducing a new cash-offer product, the company announced Thursday. The Cleveland -based retail mortgage lender unveiled CCM CashPlus to help buyers gain an edge in the bidding process by turning preapprovals into cash offers.

Mortgage 405

Mortgage Real Estate Agent Retail New Listings 405

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 437

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 437

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 532

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 532

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2023

After mortgage rates spiked to 8% in October, causing a riot in the real estate industry, we had an epic move lower in mortgage rates last week. Does this mean we’ve hit the peak in mortgage rates for this economic cycle? When mortgage rates rise and demand decreases, the percentage of homes with price cuts can grow.

Mortgage 497

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Real Estate 497

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Why are mortgage rates rising? The jobless claims data is my key 2023 economic data line for the bond market and mortgage rates because I don’t believe the Fed will pivot until the four-week moving average of jobless claims gets above 323,000. Mortgage rates went from 7.39% to a high of 7.65% and ended the week at 7.44%.

Mortgage 512

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Government 512

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

Mortgage rates continued their ascension toward 7% this week, raising doubts about the approaching spring homebuying season. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.90% as of Feb. 22, an increase from last week ’s figure of 6.77%, according to Freddie Mac ’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey released on Thursday.

Mortgage 437

Mortgage New Listings Housing Market Buyers 437

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

The typically busy spring housing market seems to already be at the doorstep despite stubbornly higher mortgage rates. Mortgage applications increased by 9.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis during the week ending March 1, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association ’s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey.

Mortgage 427

Mortgage Retail New Listings Inventory 427

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 487

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 487

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 518

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 3, 2023

We had a crazy jobs week last week, with tons of data that the Federal Reserve was happy to see, but did those labor reports mean we’ve hit peak mortgage rates for 2023? Mortgage rates did fall, purchase application data rose and new listings data came back to trend. 18: 60,295 Aug. 25: 55,291 Sept.

Mortgage 454

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 454

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. While new listings are still trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history, we are forming a bottom in this data.

Inventory 505

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 505

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

Mortgage rates shot up last week after a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, even though they didn’t raise rates. Mortgage rates did find some relief on Friday as bond yields headed lower. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

Mortgage 481

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 481

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2023

Buyers facing high mortgage rates are pulling out of their home-purchase agreements at the highest rate in nearly a year. of homes that went under contract that month, according to a new report from Redfin. The average interest rate on a 30-year-fixed mortgage was 7.07% in August. Year-over-year new listings were down 14.4%.

Buyers 417

Buyers Mortgage New Listings Real Estate Agent 417

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2023

Mortgage rates fell this week as the October inflation report drove down the yield on the 10-year Treasury. The 30-year, fixed mortgage averaged at 7.44% as of Nov. 16, according to Freddie Mac ‘s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The 30-year, fixed mortgage averaged at 7.44% as of Nov.

Mortgage 454

Mortgage New Listings Tools Inventory 454

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

Inventory 446

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 446

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 512

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 512

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 469

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 469

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7% 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 501

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 501

Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2023

Last week ended with a wild ride for mortgage rates. We anticipated the two inflation reports could help mortgage rates, however, we had a bad bond auction last Thursday, and the 10-year yield rose sharply. This pushed yields higher Thursday and Friday to move mortgage rates to 7.19%. We saw an example of that last week.

Mortgage 370

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 370

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Purchase application data didn’t budge much on the week-to-week data.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

Inventory 480

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 480

Housing Wire

APRIL 26, 2023

Higher mortgage rates did not scare away potential homeowners last week. Plenty of buyers, but not enough homes for sale,” California-based mortgage loan officer Dan Stone, who works with hundreds of mortgage lenders, told HousingWire. The latest Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) report confirms Stone’s perceptions.

Mortgage 395

Mortgage Loan Officers New Listings Government 395

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

Housing Market 496

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 496

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book. The mortgage spread data got worse last week. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall. As a result, mortgage rates, which climbed as high as 7.05% last week, fell to a low of 6.76% on Friday. million in 2023.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. For the first time in a while, this was a good week for new listing data.

Inventory 512

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 512

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe this was the most overlooked housing story of the last year because even as mortgage rates rose all the way to 8% , the home price cut percentage data was always about 4% lower year over year. Now that mortgage rates have fallen and as we start the brand new year, we need to focus on this data line more.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542