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Unsold inventory is rising across the country

Housing Wire

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Higher rates create more inventory.

Inventory 511
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Home sellers are returning to the market

Housing Wire

It’s still April, so there could be as many as eight more weeks of seller growth in the spring housing market. And seller growth is happening pretty much everywhere across the country, with Florida and Texas leading the way. The bearish take is that there are many more sellers than buyers and inventory is rising.

Sellers 462
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High mortgage rates are fueling strong inventory growth

Housing Wire

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 373
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Spring forecast: More inventory and rising home sales

Housing Wire

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. At the same time, seller volume dried up. But now sellers are coming back into the market. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April.

Inventory 457
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Altos: Housing inventory could grow 40% this year

Housing Wire

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed.

Inventory 499
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What will happen to home prices with more inventory?

Housing Wire

With the Easter holiday last week, data for housing inventory , new listings and the pace of new contracts started all took a breather from their growth pace. Here’s how 2024 is shaping up: There are now more listings, more active inventory and more sales than a year ago. Inventory will climb again with this week’s data.

Inventory 441
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Are home sellers finally coming back to the market?

Housing Wire

The defining characteristic of the 2023 housing market has been dramatically fewer home sellers than any recent year. In this week’s Altos Research video, I look at how home sellers and sales are up, but that doesn’t mean prices will climb in 2024. Housing inventory climbed late in the year as mortgage rates rose.

Sellers 424