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Home sellers are returning to the market

Housing Wire

It’s still April, so there could be as many as eight more weeks of seller growth in the spring housing market. And seller growth is happening pretty much everywhere across the country, with Florida and Texas leading the way. The bearish take is that there are many more sellers than buyers and inventory is rising.

Sellers 463
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Spring housing market gets more inventory

Housing Wire

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 495
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Altos: Sellers are coming back to the housing market, can buyers keep up?

Housing Wire

Each week — for several months now — inventory levels of unsold homes on the market has been expanding compared to last year. Even as inventory declined this week, it’s relatively growing compared to a year ago. This week, inventory fell by half a percent. There are still notably not a lot of sellers.

Sellers 351
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Unsold inventory is rising across the country

Housing Wire

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

Inventory 512
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Are home sellers finally coming back to the market?

Housing Wire

The defining characteristic of the 2023 housing market has been dramatically fewer home sellers than any recent year. In this week’s Altos Research video, I look at how home sellers and sales are up, but that doesn’t mean prices will climb in 2024. Housing inventory climbed late in the year as mortgage rates rose.

Sellers 425
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Altos: Housing inventory could grow 40% this year

Housing Wire

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 499
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Inventory is 19% higher than a year ago: Altos

Housing Wire

At HousingWire , we have a debate about whether home sellers will freeze up again this year as mortgage rates stay stubbornly high. We’ve had seller growth for 18 weeks in a row. More sellers means more sales. And as a result, as inventory builds , the sales growth trend shows signs of slowing. So that rule holds.

Inventory 467