Remove articles when-will-mortgage-rates-get-over-4
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Why fewer homes are taking a price cut, even while inventory rises

Housing Wire

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. So, we need to be very mindful of the weekly data to get clues on the marketplace.

Inventory 515
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How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024?

Housing Wire

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. Weekly housing inventory data One substantial positive story for 2024 is that we have more housing inventory year over year. But at least it’s positive!

Inventory 517
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Why are existing home prices rising when sales are still so low?

Housing Wire

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. from February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.19 This scenario is similar to 2023 when rates fell.

Inventory 491
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Why higher rates aren’t crashing home prices

Housing Wire

Those who know my work over the last 10 years know that I have Batman/Joker relationship with the housing crash people, because they never stop. In 2022 it was all about finding a point in time when I thought mortgage rates would fall, which was key to understanding how the purchase application data would react to lower mortgage rates.

Inventory 546
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When will mortgage rates get over 4%?

Housing Wire

In several previous articles I have opined that an increase in mortgage rates may be our only hope for slowing the escalation of home prices that we’ve been experiencing for the past year. Your HW+ Membership includes: Unlimited access to HW+ articles and analysis. The post When will mortgage rates get over 4%?

Mortgage 527
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show.

Inventory 515
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Wage growth downtrend kills 1970s inflation fear

Housing Wire

Given Friday’s job report , those who have been concerned with entrenched 1970s inflation — which would lead to double-digit mortgage rates — can put their disco shoes back in the closet. As you can see in the chart below, year-over-year wage growth peaked early in 2022 and has been in a clear downtrend for some time now.