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How the housing market will evolve in 2023

Housing Wire

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Update series. They increased the Federal Funds Rate from nearly 0% at the start of 2022 to 4.5% in December 2022, its highest level since 2007 and its fastest rise in more than 40 years. in September 2022. They eased below 6.5%

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Three trends to watch in 2023

Housing Wire

This article is part of our Housing 2022-23 forecast series. The last year has been a completely split housing market — one that started with the lowest inventory NAR has recorded dating back to 1999 and one with low mortgage rates. Due to the recent rise in mortgage rates, homeowners may just stay put.

Buyers 472
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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 443
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Housing Market Tracker: Banking crisis is a new variable

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? Weekly inventory increased by 1,734. This assumes the spreads are wide as the mortgage-back securities market is still very stressed.

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Housing Market Tracker: Still no spring inventory lift

Housing Wire

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates Last week was interesting for the 10-year yield and mortgage rates. The chart below shows how the weekly 10-year yield ended with lower bond yields.

Inventory 482
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Mike Fratantoni on MBA’s 2022 mortgage market forecast

Housing Wire

We’ve had the sharpest and yet also the shortest recession in history, record-low mortgage rates leading to record origination volumes, and record home prices as housing demand far outstripped supply. A silver lining is that we are expecting both 2022 and 2023 to be record years for purchase originations.

Marketing 453
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

In the summer of 2020, I talked about how the housing market would change, but it needed the 10-year yield to break over 1.94%, which roughly means 4% plus mortgage rates. Since the start of October, the year-over-year declines have been in a range of 39% -42% each week. Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels!