Housing Wire

JANUARY 29, 2024

Most economists forecast mortgage rates to decline in 2024, stoking optimism about the housing market. According to the newest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse Survey (MLIV Pulse), the rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage will fall to 5.5% The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets again on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Mortgage 414

Mortgage Inventory Investors New Listings 414

Appraisal Buzz

MARCH 26, 2024

As of March 17, there were roughly 795,645 active listings. There were roughly 88,902 new listings added during that same four weeks – and increase of 15% and the biggest increase since June 2021. The surge in listings is bringing some buyers back to the market, the firm says. The median U.S.

New Listings 195

New Listings Buyers Marketing Inventory 195

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe this was the most overlooked housing story of the last year because even as mortgage rates rose all the way to 8% , the home price cut percentage data was always about 4% lower year over year. Now that mortgage rates have fallen and as we start the brand new year, we need to focus on this data line more.

Inventory 540

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 540

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 503

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 503

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. Weekly housing inventory data We’ve now had back-to-back weeks of healthy housing inventory growth and spring 2024 is much healthier than spring 2023. The mortgage spread data got worse last week.

Inventory 495

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 495

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 403

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 403

Housing Wire

MARCH 1, 2024

Last year was a tough one for the Indiana real estate market. We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on new listings.” But as the calendar flipped to 2024 and as we inch closer to the spring selling season, Fischer said things have started to pick up. in mid-January 2024.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Construction 395

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. million in January 2021 (when mortgage rates were 2.7%) fell to 3.9

Mortgage 366

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 366

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data.

Mortgage 504

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 504

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. This got tested in 2023 with 8% mortgage rates ; not only did that not happen, but the new listing data was very stable, meaning it was forming a bottom.

Housing Market 517

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 517

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

You also know that new listings are up over last year, too. Watch the video above to get the latest housing market update from Altos Research. Inventory hit 566,000 homes on the market, meaning there are 0.5% New listings volume is up, too. A few more sellers appear to be braving the market each week.

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New Listings Contracts Inventory Housing Market 479

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

Mortgage rates and the bond market have fallen a bit recently and the spreads between the 10-year yield and 30-year mortgage rate have improved over last year’s levels. In the past two years, demand has always picked up whenever mortgage rates have moved lower with some duration. That’s a 0.50% difference in rates.

Mortgage 394

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 394

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 536

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 536

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

It’s spring 2024 and we have a Federal Reserve meeting this week. The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. This is what happened last year when the 10-year yield headed to 5% and we had 8% mortgage rates.

Housing Market 433

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 433

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

The holidays have come early for the mortgage industry. Mortgage rates fell below the 7% threshold this week as markets prepared for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s announcement on Wednesday. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.95% for the week ending Dec. on Thursday.

Mortgage 476

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 476

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Let’s look at the details of the U.S.

Inventory 511

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 511

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2024

Based on the trends we can see after the start of the year, I’ll project 2024 will see about 15% home sales growth over 2023. These are very clear trends as we start the new year. 2023 started with recovery, but slowed down in Q3 as mortgage rates hit 8%. But, 2024 is starting stronger than last year. Currently 32.8%

Real Estate 487

Real Estate Marketing Inventory New Listings 487

Housing Wire

APRIL 29, 2024

The weekly volume of new listings is now higher than at anytime last year. It’s still April, so there could be as many as eight more weeks of seller growth in the spring housing market. Mortgage rates are at 7.5% Mortgage rates are now topping 7.5%, the highest levels seen this year. orate further? That’s up 2.4%

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Sellers Marketing Inventory Contracts 462

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

Pulling comps in 2024 is tough. I also have some market recap visuals to unpack what’s been happening in 2024 so far. UPCOMING SPEAKING GIGS: 2/19/24 Matt the Mortgage Guy YouTube […] The post The challenge of pulling comps in 2024 first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog. Think about it this way.

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Appraisal Marketing Mortgage New Listings 309

Housing Wire

APRIL 13, 2024

Mortgage rates headed higher last week after the CPI inflation report , but now, with news of a wider war in the Middle East, should we expect even higher rates? Some argue that money will go into the safety of the bond market, while others say a wider war can lead to higher inflation and higher rates.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Retail 422

Housing Wire

MAY 22, 2024

Looking ahead, price growth will cool down in the second half of 2024 because of increased inventory and more homes taking a price cut before selling. The chart below shows that the inventory growth rate picked up more in 2024 after March. We have had two times recently when mortgage rates dropped more than 1%.

Inventory 449

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Contracts 449

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2024

Mortgage rates remained unchanged last week despite the release of the stronger-than-expected jobs report. HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans at 7.16% on Tuesday, unchanged from one week earlier. Nevertheless, all markets posted gains compared to a year ago.

Mortgage 356

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 356

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 439

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 439

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

Mortgage rates have risen recently but they could be much worse than they are today. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for housing in 2024. In my 2024 forecast , I put the 10-year yield range between 3.21%-4.25% , with a critical line in the sand at 3.37%. That hasn’t happened.

Mortgage 445

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 445

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 381

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 381

Housing Wire

JANUARY 22, 2024

According to Zillow ’s annual predictions, Indianapolis will be the fourth-hottest real estate market of 2024, thanks to its solid economy, housing inventory, affordability and pent-up demand. The top three spots in the ranking were Buffalo, New York, and Cincinnati and Columbus, Ohio. The real estate market As of Jan.

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Housing Market Marketing Logistics Real Estate 386

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 517

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 517

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

Mortgage rates continued their ascension toward 7% this week, raising doubts about the approaching spring homebuying season. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.90% as of Feb. 22, an increase from last week ’s figure of 6.77%, according to Freddie Mac ’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey released on Thursday.

Mortgage 392

Mortgage New Listings Housing Market Buyers 392

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 499

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 499

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

Inventory 403

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 403

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

held up in 2023, sales volume in the housing market cratered. Consumers care about home prices and mortgage rates; the industry cares about transaction volume. If we get lucky with mortgage rates, though, we might just be at the bottom of the housing market recession right now. While home prices in the U.S. Plus, 39.2%

Housing Market 475

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Contracts 475

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 373

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 373

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 521

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? Let’s see how this looks in the critical time from the second week of January to the first week of May 2024.

Mortgage 440

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 440

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7% 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 466