Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2% 2022: 17.2%

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. Weekly housing inventory continues to decline, as we saw a decrease of 13,238 units, double the amount we had this time last year. Finally, all the positive data we have seen since Nov.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Purchase application data As we get closer to the end of the first month of 2024, forward-looking purchase application data looks good. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Feb.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe we should get more sellers in 2024 than in 2023, but that doesn’t necessarily mean home prices will fall. This is why following the housing market tracker tied to the 10-year yield, mortgage rates, and purchase application data will be as critical as last year to tell you what’s going on in the housing market.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

It’s spring 2024 and we have a Federal Reserve meeting this week. For 2024, the 10-year yield running between 3.80%-4.25% looks perfectly normal to me as long as the economic data is firm and the Fed hasn’t pivoted. This means we will show more than normal inventory growth until we get past tax day 2024.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 4, 2024

And as a result, as inventory builds , the sales growth trend shows signs of slowing. We know that these higher mortgage rates are deterring buyers, and inventory is building. Will higher rates keep a cap on inventory like it did a year ago? Inventory is up in lock step. We’re at 19% year over year inventory gains now.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2023

Bright MLS released its National Housing Market Outlook on Wednesday, which shows that affordability will remain the biggest challenge for homebuyers next year. Homebuyer traffic will increase in 2024, fueled by lower mortgage rates and more existing-home inventory. Existing-home sales will end 2024 at 4.6

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Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

Although more agents are fielding questions about the commission lawsuits than they were a quarter ago , they also remain optimistic about where the housing market is headed in the second quarter of 2024, according to the RealTrends Q2 2024 AgentPulse survey.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

While demand is solid, the savagely unhealthy aspect of housing is continuing. Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 15, 2024

“We are excited about how we are set up for 2024 and beyond,” CEO Carrie Wheeler told investors and analysts listening to the firm’s Q4 2023 earnings call on Thursday evening. billion in inventory. billion in inventory. “We After posting a $1.4

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Sacramento Appraisal Blog

JANUARY 4, 2024

What’s the housing market going to do in 2024? Nobody has a crystal ball, but here are some emerging trends. Scroll quickly by topic or digest slowly.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 13, 2023

As 2023 draws to a close, housing professionals hope for relief from the high mortgage rates, terrible inventory levels and slow sales that characterized the year. Mortgage rates The experts unanimously foresee lower mortgage rates in 2024, although none expect rates to fall below 6%. million to 5.07

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Housing Wire

MAY 10, 2022

This article is part of our housing market economic update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a Housing Market Update webinar. The housing market is heading toward an inflection point — a rebalancing that will mean the end of the record-high price appreciation we’ve seen over the past year.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2022

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Because housing is shelter, people don’t sell their homes to be homeless; it’s where they live.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. I was adamant about the price growth rule of 23% from 2020 to 2024.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2023

The last two years of soaring mortgage rates and rising home prices have brought the fastest erosion in housing market affordability in modern history, and it’s hurt first-time homebuyers the most. Inventory remains one of the driving forces in this difficult housing market.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. This squeezed inventory even further throughout 2022 and 2023, pushing home prices to record highs month after month.

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Appraisal Buzz

APRIL 11, 2024

But unlike housing markets of the past, this market isn’t being driven by low mortgage rates or low home prices – the current trickle of sales is coming mainly from people who are facing life events that require them to sell their homes and move. Currently, First American is forecasting March existing-home sales will rise 1.7%

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.

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Housing Wire

JULY 5, 2023

Gerli cites data from a company called AllTheRooms to make the case that the Airbnb /short-term rental market is “crashing” and it will have a big impact on inventory. A nearly 50% drop in revenue in some markets! Inventory, as ever, is key to all this. You’ve probably seen it. Indeed, the chart he shared is alarming.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Sellers 391

Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. I developed a specific home-price growth model for the years 2020-2024 which said that if home-price growth grew at 23% for five years we would be fine, with total housing demand —both new and existing homes together — getting to 6.2

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

The housing market is hot. You may be told that future moderation indicates “cracks in the housing market, but don’t buy into it. I previously wrote that if we really saw cracks in the housing market, these are a few indicators to track and to beware of doom and gloom housing headlines.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2023

Even though Jerome Powell announced three rate cuts in 2024, Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) group continues to forecast a modest downturn in 2024. As a result, home sales will begin a “slow but meaningful recovery” in 2024, according to the December 2023 commentary from the Fannie Mae ESR Group. million to 5.07

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

As rates were hitting year-to-date highs, the fear was that the Fed would go hawkish in their March meeting, which could push mortgage rates toward 8% and tank 2024 demand. Let’s look at the tracker data to see how mortgage rates are impacting the housing data as we settle into spring. 8% for spring 2024.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 7, 2021

During the previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019, the housing market was subject to the constant refrain of build more homes. The previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019 was the weakest housing recovery ever. Because that period followed a housing boom and bust when inventory was overbuilt.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 15, 2023

Although high mortgage rates, elevated home prices and limited housing inventory have crippled the 2023 housing market, the outlook for 2024 is brighter, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist with the National Association of Realtors (NAR). In 2023, new-home sales are up 5% year to date, Yun said.

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Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

However, this year, even though the spreads are still historically bad, they’ve improved over last year, which is a plus for the housing market. Weekly housing inventory data Last week was another week that missed my inventory growth model with higher rates. Right now, the difference between them is 2.60%.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 394

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2021

According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales for April’s housing market came in at 5,8500,000. housing market for 2020 to 2024 is that home prices could escalate to an unhealthy level. The post Existing home sales data: A bad sign for housing market? Already a member?

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