Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

Inventory 532

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 532

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 516

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 466

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 466

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 433

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 433

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 501

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 501

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. So far, higher mortgage rates haven’t changed the data yet.

Inventory 539

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 539

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 527

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 527

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? We might have reached the peak in inventory this week.

Inventory 453

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 453

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 496

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 496

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

Inventory 524

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 524

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 544

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 544

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Purchase application data rose again, with more positive than negative data in 2023. This is one reason housing inventory has taken so long to bottom out. The answer is no!

Inventory 527

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 527

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 6,722 weekly. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

Inventory 487

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 487

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. As we can see in the chart below, it’s been so slow that year-over-year inventory is now negative versus 2022. As we can see below, there is a big difference between 2023 data for this week versus 2022 data.

Inventory 462

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 462

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing.

Inventory 513

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 513

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 483

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much.

New Listings 365

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 365

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 10, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable decline in new listings and active inventory was barely positive. Does this mean housing inventory has begun its seasonal decline? Last year, we saw an active listing decline in the same week but then listing growth continued until Oct. However, one week doesn’t make a trend.

Inventory 463

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 463

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

Inventory 441

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 441

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year.

Inventory 449

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 449

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

It’s no secret that 2023 was a difficult year to buy a home. With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 394

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 394

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 475

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 475

Appraisal Buzz

MARCH 26, 2024

homes for sale climbed 5% during the four weeks ended March 17, the biggest year-over-year uptick since May 2023, according to Redfin. As of March 17, there were roughly 795,645 active listings. There were roughly 88,902 new listings added during that same four weeks – and increase of 15% and the biggest increase since June 2021.

New Listings 195

New Listings Buyers Marketing Inventory 195

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. However, last week was good; we had less inventory growth than I would like to see, but it’s better than the past few weeks. But last week did see some growth in active listings, even though it’s less than I was hoping for.

Inventory 362

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 362

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Will higher rates extend the inventory season, or are we going into the traditional seasonal decline?

Inventory 368

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 368

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. During that period, we saw new listing data decline.

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 539

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

However, whenever the 10-year yield falls with duration, as we saw toward the end of 2022 and into 2023, it sends mortgage rates lower, and we can grow sales from these record-low levels. Purchase application data Purchase application data really moves on mortgage rates — something we saw in late 2022 and into 2023.

Mortgage 506

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 506

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday. million by October of 2023 (when rates crossed over 8%).

Mortgage 345

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 345

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. 30, 2022-Jan.

Inventory 527

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 527

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Active inventory fell 1,109, and new listing data made a lovely comeback week to week but was still noticeably down year over year. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 438

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 438

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

Inventory 381

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 381

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Weekly Housing Inventory A few weeks ago, I was encouraged that we had a slight increase in inventory and a small decline the following week. This week inventory fell 8,664 units from the previous week.

Inventory 443

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 443

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

Since November 2023, when mortgage rates started to fall, we have had 12 positive prints versus nine negative prints and two flat prints week-to-week. Weekly housing inventory data Last week was another week that missed my inventory growth model with higher rates. So, we shall see how next week looks.

Mortgage 390

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 390

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! The weekly inventory data, which had fallen faster than I had anticipated the last few weeks, has now seen a slight uptick. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Jan.

Inventory 531

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 531

Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. Weekly housing inventory There is, again, another downside report on weekly inventory, as inventory has fallen noticeably again this week from the week prior. However, it has now fallen again, and inventory decreased by 6,468.

Inventory 488

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 488