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The mortgage rate lock-in didn’t start in 2022

Housing Wire

In the 24 months beginning March 2022, the U.S. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday.

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Sluggish net new listings signal that the lock-in effect is not over

Inman

percent decline in net new listings and a 2 percent decrease in contract signings, driven by mortgage rate fluctuations, according to HouseCanary. Despite a rise in total inventory compared to 2022 and 2023, the market is still behind historical inventory averages as sellers avoid entering a higher rate environment.

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Opinion: The end of seller speculation in US housing market

Housing Wire

metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. The table also reports the year-over-year percent change in new listings for each market. Table 1, below, reports the 10 hottest U.S. Panama City, FL 39.7%

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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

As we can see in the chart below, the 10-year yield and mortgage rates have made a massive move higher since 2022. However, whenever the 10-year yield falls with duration, as we saw toward the end of 2022 and into 2023, it sends mortgage rates lower, and we can grow sales from these record-low levels.

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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow. 9, 2022, and they’ll be ready for what’s coming next. So today’s tracker is focused on 2023, the inventory data, and how different this year was from 2022.

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The awesome power of high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates. percentage points—sellers take notice. Facing these realities, many would-be sellers decide to stay put. This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings.

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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. 2022 was a historic year for housing as we had the most significant home sales crash ever, and mortgage rates went from 3% to 7% in the same year.

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