Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. In the 24 months beginning March 2022, the U.S. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points.

Mortgage 366

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 366

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 536

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 536

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 466

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 466

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The 10-year yield is close to yearly highs as the U.S.

Inventory 453

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 453

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 521

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. I went over the reasons for this in the Housing Wire Daily podcast in February.

Inventory 543

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 543

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. The start of 2023 has been good, considering mortgage rates have stayed above 6% most of the time. I am keeping an eye on how much growth we can get with mortgage rates over 6%. Since Nov.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 483

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 476

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week.

Inventory 510

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 510

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 490

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 490

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number. The answer is no!

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year.

Inventory 447

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 447

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 416

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 416

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 434

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 434

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

But, even with mortgage rates higher this year than last year, demand is rising. Once I make some holiday adjustments, we have eight weeks of a positive trend since mortgage rates fell from the 8% high , and as of now, the slightly higher rates we’ve seen recently haven’t impacted the data just yet. This is common in January.

Inventory 515

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 515

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2% 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 403

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 403

Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2022

Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020. million and 6.16

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage Housing Market Marketing 535

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. 30, 2022-Jan.

Inventory 519

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 519

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Mortgage rates fell last week after the debt ceiling issues were resolved, but the damage from higher rates took its toll on purchase application data again.

Inventory 398

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 398

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. Mortgage rates fell along with bond yields, showing that mortgage rates peaked on Oct. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! One caution is that this data line took a waterfall dive, wiping out seven years of growth in 2022.

Inventory 530

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 530

Housing Wire

JANUARY 2, 2023

The housing market has been wild the last few years, making weekly data more critical. This is why I’ve created the Housing Market Tracker — a weekly analysis of purchase apps, housing inventory and mortgage rates that will be published every Monday. The 10-year yield shows where mortgage rates will go.

Inventory 442

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 442

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. Purchase apps had a small week-to-week gain.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

Inventory 371

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 371

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. housing market, and we should ignore the decline last week.

Inventory 422

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 422

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. But now sellers are coming back into the market. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. At the same time, seller volume dried up.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 457

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today.

Inventory 390

Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 390

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. 2022 21.7% So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024.

Inventory 519

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 519

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. However, mortgage rates didn’t stay flat. They climbed starting Jan.

Inventory 384

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 384

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 469

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 469

Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Here’s the housing market rundown for the last week: Purchase application data showed positive weekly growth again — and the bounce from the bottom is more noticeable now. Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. However, it has now fallen again, and inventory decreased by 6,468.

Inventory 486

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 486

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Last year, the seasonal decline took longer than usual, but 2022 was an abnormal year with mortgage rates.

Inventory 366

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 366

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever.

Inventory 457

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 457

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 442

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 442

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. We are working from a shallow bar in this index – seven years of growth were taken away in one year in 2022.

Inventory 434

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 434

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. However, last week was good; we had less inventory growth than I would like to see, but it’s better than the past few weeks. Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week.

Inventory 356

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 356