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New listings data falls for third week in a row 

Housing Wire

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. The moves haven’t been significant and our weekly pending contracts data picked up this week. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. When rates drop and demand improves, the percentage falls.

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Unsold inventory is rising across the country

Housing Wire

New listings climbed during the past week and there are now 72,000 more single-family homes on the market. It appeared that new listings might be on the decline already, but the pace picked up a tad this week, which is encouraging. And this trend will continue until mortgage rates drop significantly.

Inventory 511
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High mortgage rates are fueling strong inventory growth

Housing Wire

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 373
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Mortgage rates continue to rise before the Fed’s meeting 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates inched higher last week ahead of the Federal Reserve ’s Federal Open Markets Committee on Wednesday and the national jobs report on Friday. Unsold inventory was nearly 32% higher than at this time last year and 90% higher compared to the end of April 2022. “The

Mortgage 351
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Where are home prices headed this spring?

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates seem to have finally settled down. I was worried that we might come out of that meeting with a spike in mortgage rates but that didn’t materialize so we got lucky. The longer mortgage rates stay higher, the more inventory will grow closer to the old levels. In total, new listings data is 14% more than last year.

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Sluggish net new listings signal that the lock-in effect is not over

Inman

percent decline in net new listings and a 2 percent decrease in contract signings, driven by mortgage rate fluctuations, according to HouseCanary. Despite a rise in total inventory compared to 2022 and 2023, the market is still behind historical inventory averages as sellers avoid entering a higher rate environment.

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Peak homebuying season is clouded by mixed signals

Housing Wire

Home sales continue to run just a little ahead of last year’s pace, but with mortgage rates in the 7s, there are a ton of potential homebuyers sitting on the sidelines. All in all, you can see how effectively 7% mortgage rates have slowed the housing market. This forecast will compress a bit if mortgage rates finally decline.