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What the new home sales report shows about labor market risk

Housing Wire

However, we need to keep an eye on the housing construction data in this report because it has huge implications for the economic cycle, our recession risk and mortgage rates. When single-family permit demand collapsed in 2022 , we still had a healthy backlog of homes that needed to be finished. In this report: 1.9 In this report: 1.9

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2024 housing market and rate forecast

Housing Wire

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Every Saturday I publish a weekly housing market tracker with forward-looking data and insights so you can adjust quickly to market conditions. If the 10-year yield gets above 4.25%, the U.S.

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Zillow and Redfin partner on new construction listings

Housing Wire

Zillow Group ‘s new-construction listings will be automatically syndicated to Redfin. The deal between the listing platforms comes as new construction listings form roughly 30% of the housing sales market. New single-family home sales rose 23.8% million lost in Q1 2022.

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Unsold inventory is rising across the country

Housing Wire

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

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Indiana’s housing market is primed to bounce back in 2024

Housing Wire

Last year was a tough one for the Indiana real estate market. Sales from 2022 to 2023 were down 14%,” Mark Fischer, the CEO of the Indiana Realtors Association , said. “We We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on new listings.” Data from Altos Research backs up Fischer’s observations.

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Are mortgage rates about to fall?

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates and the bond market have fallen a bit recently and the spreads between the 10-year yield and 30-year mortgage rate have improved over last year’s levels. To see mortgage rates drop and stay lower, the bond market needs to know the labor market is getting softer. That’s a 0.50% difference in rates.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year.