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Logan Mohtashami’s 2024 housing market and rate forecast

Housing Wire

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. What could make home prices decline?

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year.

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Housing Market Tracker: Purchase apps surprise

Housing Wire

Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. 9, 2022 , this data has been forming a bottom-end range. This dynamic changed the housing market from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. 9 is a critical date because that’s when the housing market turned.

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Indiana’s housing market is primed to bounce back in 2024

Housing Wire

Last year was a tough one for the Indiana real estate market. Sales from 2022 to 2023 were down 14%,” Mark Fischer, the CEO of the Indiana Realtors Association , said. “We We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on new listings.”

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Zillow and Redfin partner on new construction listings

Housing Wire

Zillow Group ‘s new-construction listings will be automatically syndicated to Redfin. The deal between the listing platforms comes as new construction listings form roughly 30% of the housing sales market. New single-family home sales rose 23.8% million lost in Q1 2022.

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Inventory needs to increase to balance housing market: Fed Beige Book

Housing Wire

High inflation has reduced consumers’ purchasing power, which has led to weakened sales and construction across all 12 Federal Reserve districts. While home prices have started to inch down, more inventory is needed for a balanced housing market, the Federal Reserve Beige Book said. However, housing affordability worsened.

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What the new home sales report shows about labor market risk

Housing Wire

However, we need to keep an eye on the housing construction data in this report because it has huge implications for the economic cycle, our recession risk and mortgage rates. As the chart below shows, the housing sector generally poses a future risk to labor if the single-family permits data continues to decline.

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