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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory drops by 11,000

Housing Wire

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. My 2023 inventory forecast needs a lot of help, as new listing data isn’t growing at all still.

Inventory 427
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . months in August 2021.”.

Inventory 437
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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

It facilitated a very unhealthy housing market in 2020-2021 that became savage in 2022. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. To top it all off, we started 2022 at all-time lows, forcing bidding action everywhere until mortgage rates rose. million active listings, but at just 1.28

Sellers 498
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The savagely unhealthy housing market is over

Housing Wire

Last June, the Federal Reserve said it wanted a housing reset , which meant it wanted higher mortgage rates to destroy the housing market. This facilitated the biggest decline in existing home sales for a single year that we will ever see in modern-day history due to the high level of sales in January of 2022. million in January.

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

This year’s “cold down” is stark, with 36% fewer new listings and about 26% fewer homes under contract (Pendings) for all King County home types combined as well as single-family structures alone – and that’s simply from October to November. Does this signal a peak in mortgage rates or a temporary blip? Prices declined 5.4%

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CAN HOUSING SHORTAGE CATCH UP TO EASTSIDE DEMAND?

Will Springer Realtor

That’s where buyers are paying about 42% more in their monthly mortgage payments for the same house today than they did a year ago. home prices, up 14% year over year (YoY) by one measure, and escalating mortgage rates, which have risen about 2.1 The potent combo of rising U.S. home (about $400,000 vs. $880,000 in King County).