Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Every Saturday I publish a weekly housing market tracker with forward-looking data and insights so you can adjust quickly to market conditions. If the 10-year yield gets above 4.25%, the U.S.

Housing Market 522

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 522

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 521

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 381

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 381

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data.

Mortgage 517

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 517

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! The 10-year yield rose noticeably, sending mortgage rates near 7% right in the heart of the spring selling season. New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Mortgage rates rose last week as we started the week at 6.55% but ended at 6.90%.

Housing Market 477

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 477

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2023

After mortgage rates spiked to 8% in October, causing a riot in the real estate industry, we had an epic move lower in mortgage rates last week. Does this mean we’ve hit the peak in mortgage rates for this economic cycle? When mortgage rates rise and demand decreases, the percentage of homes with price cuts can grow.

Mortgage 451

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Real Estate 451

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall. Do they even want to risk more stress in the markets?

Housing Market 369

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 369

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. Also, the volume of active listings was higher in 2022 this week, even though we were working from a lower level.

Inventory 510

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 510

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? We didn’t see too much volatility in mortgage rates last week, but purchase apps declined in reaction to rates rising two weeks ago. Mortgage rates started the week off at 6.61% and ended at 6.66%, so a calm week on the rate front.

Inventory 543

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 439

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 439

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. Of course, we have a third story in this U.S.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 476

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

Housing Market 540

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 540

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 12, 2024

Each week — for several months now — inventory levels of unsold homes on the market has been expanding compared to last year. New listings each week, which were record few last year, are growing now. New listings each week, which were record few last year, are growing now. They essentially bypass the active market.

Sellers 350

Sellers Housing Market Buyers New Listings 350

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Why are mortgage rates rising? We have had back-to-back weeks of the bond market getting wild since the key 10-year yield level of 4.34% broke higher. It didn’t help that the Fed was hawkish after the Fed meeting , as their forward outlook surprised some market players. Land the plane, folks, land the plane!

Mortgage 473

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Government 473

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. This is truly a savagely unhealthy housing market as we have too many people chasing too few homes. The weekly active listing data had a rare week-to-week decline.

Inventory 453

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 453

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today. Let’s start with the good news.

Inventory 390

Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 390

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Strong labor data pushed up mortgage rates and purchase applications fell week to week. Two weeks ago we had some good movement with active listings growing almost 9,000 , but last week that fell to just 4,988, and new listings data also fell.

Housing Market 344

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 344

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 513

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 513

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Mortgage rates fell last week after the debt ceiling issues were resolved, but the damage from higher rates took its toll on purchase application data again. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

Inventory 398

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 398

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

Inventory 371

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 371

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. Nothing good is happening in housing when days on market are so low.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 440

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 440

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 469

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 469

Housing Wire

APRIL 25, 2024

There is no way you can stay on top of things unless you hire someone to watch new listings pop up every 10 minutes. While DeRoussel’s experience sounds exactly like many of the stories that emerged from the pandemic-fueled homebuying frenzy of 2020 and 2021, this happened just a few weeks ago in early April 2024. “It

Buyers 374

Buyers Marketing Inventory Investors 374

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Mortgage rates were near 7% last week but purchase applications were still able to pull out an 8% week-to-week gain. Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Mortgage rates hardly budged last week, even with the Federal Reserve ‘s announcement it was pausing rate hikes and CPI inflation reports.

Housing Market 451

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 451

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

Mortgage rates shot up last week after a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, even though they didn’t raise rates. In addition, jobless claims data had another solid print, showing that the labor market hasn’t broken yet, which led to more selling of the 10-year yield. The yearly high is 7.49%. 15: 61,852 Sept.

Mortgage 413

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 413

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. Here is a quick rundown of the last week: Purchase application data was down 6% weekly.

Inventory 427

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 427

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. While new listings are still trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history, we are forming a bottom in this data.

Inventory 490

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 490

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. This doesn’t appear to be the case for 2023. This link explains the difference.

Housing Market 419

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 419

Housing Wire

JANUARY 29, 2021

Realtor.com’s Housing Market Recovery Index showed significant contract growth, specifically in Portland, Las Vegas, Denver, Los Angeles, and Boston. There is a high demand for housing and a great number of would-be buyers, and therefore sales should rise with more new listings,” Yun said. million in 2021, Yun said.

Contracts 529

Contracts Real Estate Housing Market Technology 529

Housing Wire

JANUARY 23, 2023

Here’s the housing market rundown for the last week: Purchase application data had a solid week-to-week gain of 25%. Mortgage rates fell, but the bond market didn’t break what I see as a critical level, so for now, stabilization is more important. Last week’s housing market data provided mixed news.

Housing Market 502

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 502

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2023

Buyers facing high mortgage rates are pulling out of their home-purchase agreements at the highest rate in nearly a year. of homes that went under contract that month, according to a new report from Redfin. The average interest rate on a 30-year-fixed mortgage was 7.07% in August. Year-over-year new listings were down 14.4%.

Buyers 390

Buyers Mortgage New Listings Real Estate Agent 390

Housing Wire

MAY 22, 2024

So, unless mortgage rates drop fast and demand picks up, inventory should have an average year of growth before the seasonal decline. We have had two times recently when mortgage rates dropped more than 1%. I love that new listings data is growing yearly, but it’s been too light for me. This isn’t the case in 2024.

Inventory 449

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Contracts 449