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Home sales are beginning to stall as buyers hit their limit

Housing Wire

The number of homes for sale fell 28% year over year from 2020, and the typical home sold in just 14 days — a record low and, down from 39 days in June 2020. “In June we entered a new phase of the housing market,” Fairweather said. Finally, new listings fell from a year ago in 15 of the 85 largest metro areas.

Buyers 545
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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. On March 18, 2020, purchase application data broke out to pre-cycle highs in demand. What does that mean? Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 443
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Redfin: New and Active Listings Increased in April as Home Prices Continued to Rise

Appraisal Buzz

New listings increased 1.7% Still, new listings were roughly 20% below pre-pandemic levels, in large part because many homeowners don’t want to sell, as they feel “locked in” by the low mortgage rate they scored during the pandemic. Active listings rose to the highest level since December 2020 in April.

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Redfin: Over half of buyers are going above asking price

Housing Wire

“We are seeing a typical late-spring slowdown in new listings and pending sales, but prices don’t typically peak until late August, and their growth remains completely unhinged,” said Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist. But that’s not slowing down buyers. from a year ago.

Buyers 414
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

In the previous expansion, one of my long-term calls was that the MBA purchase application data will never hit the volume level of 300 until the years 2020-2024. Right on cue, 2020 came and we hit the 300 level. The years 2020-2024 were going to be the time when total home sales could finally reach 6.2 We are up 43% since 2020.

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Housing inventory has never been lower

Housing Wire

During the four week period ending November 28, the number of active listings was a 23% decrease compared to the same time period in 2020 and a 42% drop compared to 2019. The number of new listings was also down compared to 2020, dropping 4%, but it was 12% higher than the number of new listing during the same time period in 2019.

Inventory 502
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The awesome power of high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings. This data, courtesy of Altos, shows that new listings retreat when rates rise and accelerate when rates fall: High rates are bad, too, for the sellers who decided to list their homes.

Mortgage 406