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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. the seasonal peak this year was on Nov.

Mortgage 527
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Spring housing market gets more inventory

Housing Wire

This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book.

Inventory 497
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What will lower mortgage rates do to spring housing inventory?

Housing Wire

Instead, let’s look at the future: If the 10-year yield can break under 4.34% with some kick from bond buyers, we have an excellent shot at getting under 7%. Most home sellers are buyers, and we want the new listings data to show growth year over year since it appears that we have formed a bottom in 2023.

Inventory 531
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and new listings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.

Inventory 545
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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory grows

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory Since new listing data was trending at all-time lows in 2023, some feared we wouldn’t see the typical spring inventory increase. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing. This link explains the difference and is worth a read.

Inventory 515
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Why is housing inventory growing with higher mortgage rates?

Housing Wire

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. You can see our debate on this topic here.

Inventory 532
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Are mortgage rates about to fall?

Housing Wire

This can be partly due to a higher percentage of cash buyers in the sales mix that purchase applicatoins won’t account for. Purchase application data Purchase application data was positive week to week but still down year over year. We are seeing better positive sales growth on our weekly pending sales data.

Mortgage 402